Tuesday, 30 April 2013

Where will the Phoenix Coyotes move to?

There has been a lot of debate recently as to the future of the Phoenix Coyotes. We have known for some time now that the franchise has been struggling, and seemingly every time we close out a season talk turns to the team from the desert making a move elsewhere. It is a shame but I feel ever since the original Winnipeg Jets relocated to Arizona in 1996, it has never been a popular move and it has just been a matter of time before the team uproots itself to a more popular market. I have fond memories of the team, not least the 1998-99 season when we were treated to some great hockey from Jeremy Roenick, Keith Tkachuk and Teppo Numminen. The 1999 Coyotes finished 4th in the Western Conference and were leading their first round playoff series against the St Louis Blues 3 games to 1 before they were eliminated. Even their old green and red color scheme on their jerseys and the old logo have became iconic over the years. The fact is though they have been struggling financially ever since that season and it is surely inevitable they will be on the move soon enough. So the next question is where to next? Well, having seen on TSN last week there is a short-list of about 6 venues that claim to be able to lure the desert dogs to their city, and I will assess each one in turn. 


1 – Seattle – for me this is the most obvious venue, The Pacific Northwest has long been crying out for an NHL team of their own. It seems ideal when you think of it. Most US based NHL teams are located in the Northern, cold climate areas close to the Canadian Border, think Detroit, Chicago, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, New York, New Jersey, Boston and Minnesota. They are all located in the North East or Central lakes area, not a single team in PacWest. Seattle just sounds like it would be a hockey town, I mean imagine a team called something like theSeattle Storm, decked out in Green, White and Blue and forming an intense rivalry with the Vancouver Canucks. A Seattle/Vancouver city rivalry in as has been the case in the MLS (Sounders/Whitecaps) and in the past the NBA (SuperSonics/ Grizzlies). The problem, at present is they do not have a suitable venue for playing hockey. The Supersonics old building, the Key Arena is dated and was one of the reasons why they were relocated to Oklahoma City in the first place. But, if the lack of an arena is a negative point, it is also a positive one too. Ever since the much-loved Sonics were forced out of town the good folk of Seattle have obsessed about getting their team back. I am reliably informed that things are at an advanced staged to relocate the Sacramento Kings from Northern California to Washington, but the NBA will only rubber stamp the move if the new owners build a brand new multi-purpose arena. Once again, I am reliably informed that, to get a new arena built, it has to include an NHL team sharing the facility along with the re-born SuperSonics. It seems so agonisingly close that we will see an NBA and NHL team playing in Seattle soon enough. There are that many people involved in the project for it to fail at this late stage, and seeing how much passion exists to get their NBA team back, why wouldn’t they agree to get a hockey team too. Around the Seattle area are 2 WHL teams, the Seattle Thunderbirds, based just south of the city in Kent and the Everett Silvertips juts to the North. No one can say there is not enough passion or people interested in the sport in the area. Seattle could also join a list along with Chicago, New York, Detroit, Dallas, Minnesota, Philadlephia, Miami, Denver & Washington in being a city/metro area with a franchise from all 4 of the major North American sports leagues (NFL/NBA/NHL/MLB).


2 – Portland Seattle’s Pacific Northwest Neighbour and Rival is Portland. Despite being a much smaller media market, the City from Oregon can lay claim to having an arena already in place, the Rose Gardens, and could have an NHL team playing out of it tomorrow. Their NBA team, the Portland Trailblazers, already share the facility with a hockey team, the Portland Winterhawks of the WHL, who are a Chicago Blackhawks farm team. Again like Seattle, Hockey is popular in the city as they have minor league teams in the area, so the potential for an NHL team to thrive here is great. However, can I realistically see a team playing here, the simple answer is no. If a team were to relocate to the Northwest region, surely it would be to Seattle first before Portland? I could be wrong, but even though Seattle has more work to do to get all their pieces of the jigsaw in place, it seems much more likely to happen than it does in the City of Roses.

 

3 – Kansas City For some reason I always get surprised to see this mid-western town’s name on any list of would-be relocations. Why? I hear you ask, well for one it doesn’t strike me as being an obvious hockey market. Yes, yes it is in the Mid-west along with St Louis, Chicago, Detroit etc and would form some great rivalries with any of those teams, but it is in a warmer climate than any of the other cities on the short list (apart from Las Vegas) and having failed in one hot climate, would it not be best to play it safe by going to a colder city? Kansas of course have had an NHL team before, back in the 1970s when the Scouts played there very breifly for 2 seasons before moving on. They then came close to getting a second chance at hosting a hockey team around the turn of the millennium when it looked certain another financially struggling team, the Pittsburgh Penguins looked like they might relocate there. Thankfully common sense and Mario Lemieux prevailed to keep the team in its rightful home, but it seems KC have not given up on the idea of one day getting a team of their own. They also have a brand new arena in the City with no tenants there to use it, so another incentive to get a team to play there.

4 – Las Vegas – Now this was a surprise addition in many ways, A city that has never before hosted a pro-sports team, and one at that in the same desert climate and just across the border in Nevada from Phoenix and Arizona. If it failed in one dessert town, it is just as likely to struggle in another too, right? Also there have been several gambling scandals coming out of the Party Capital, which has put a block on having a pro-team there in the past. Despite all this, rumors persist that Hollywood movie mogul Jerry Bruckheimer is to be involved in any bid to get the team playing there.

5 – Milwaukee – This was another surprise name on the list. On the face of it Milwaukee would be a good fit, it is a Northern ‘cold’ city, is in the State of Wisconsin where Hockey is popular and could share any arena with the NBA Bucks. However the downsides are the current arena, the Bradley Center is not good enough for the Bucks anymore, never mind moving a hockey team in too. Any bid to get a team there would have to involve the building of a brand new facility, and that may just reduce the chances of seeing it happen. The fact that Milwaukee has a close proximity to Chicago, and the mighty Blackhawks, could also work against them.

6 – Quebec City – Ah, yes Quebec. I can hear all those Hockey Romantics sighing, let’s get the deal done, but if only it was that simple. The chance to get one of the biggest names back in hockey, the Quebec Nordiques, would be a hard thing for the NHL to pass up. Ever since they relocated to Denver, to become the Colorado Avalanche, there have been murmurings about getting a team back in the area, much like how Winnipeg wanted their Jets back. Well Winnipeg did get their team back, less than 2 years ago, and you could feel the momentum building across the whole of Canada about getting another famous name back. By all accounts there is a very strong claim that the Coyotes could be re-located to Quebec, however, I really can’t see how the NHL can possibly allow this to happen, not this time, anyway, and that is down to one reason. The Division re-alignment. At present we have 30 teams, that will be split over 4 divisions instead of 6. This means instead of having a very even spread of 6 divisions of 5 teams we will now have 2 divisions of 8 teams and 2 divisions of 7. With Winnipeg rightly moving from what was the Southeast division into the old Central one with teams from Chicago and Minnesota, it meant to balance things up, Columbus and Detroit have now moved to the east. This means the 2 divisions of 8 teams will be in the east. Phoenix, believed to be staying where they are were in one of the 2 divisions with 7 teams. If the Coyotes were to move to Quebec, they couldn’t possibly stay in the ‘Pacific’ Division. They would have to move to the old Northeast division, for geographical reasons and to re-awaken old rivalries with Montreal, Boston & Buffalo. If that were to happen suddenly the 4 divisions would look very unbalanced, having 1 division of 6 teams, 1 of 7, 1 of 8 and of course 1 of 9. That would never work, and would mean then going back on their word to either the Blue Jackets or the Red Wings. When the current Divisional set up came into effect in 1998, Detroit were asked to play in the west as a favour to the league, while also keeping strong rivalries with Chicago and St Louis. For a while now Detroit have wanted to call in that favor by being placed in a more friendly division. At present they travel more miles than any other team, and most of their regular rivals are in different time zones to them. Moving to the Northeast means ET or CT as opposed to 2 time zones difference playing teams in PT. Columbus too have a similar problem, and having been a franchise that has struggled on the ice more than most, meant a changeup is what they needed. Going back on their original plan and asking either team to move back would not sit well. However I have a solution, so please read on.

Summary – Any move by the Coyotes would have to be to a Western Market, and given the aspirations of getting an NBA team back there, it is almost certain to be Seattle. However, I can still see a team playing out of Quebec again. It might not be this year, or next year, or even the one after, but within say the next 5-10 years I can see a team like the Florida Panthers, moving. Given The new Division set up, both the Panthers and near neighbours the Tampa Bay Lightning will find themselves in a division with teams in the Northeast, travelling a lot further than say, Atlanta, Raleigh & Washington, like they have been used too. I believe this will not be good for the long term future of the team, and may force their hand in relocating, which is where Quebec come in. Florida are already in the division that Quebec would need to be in, it is all starting to make sense now, right? And what about the Lightning? Well I believe they are in better shape than Florida and having won a Stanley cup in the last decade, will buy them some time, but with their closest rivals gone, would Tampa want to have to make the trek up to the Northeast for every game? Maybe it would be convenient for them to relocate to bring back another famous old name, that of Hartford and the Whalers. Just a thought. I could be completely wrong, which I really hope I am. I like the current teams/location set up, but at the same time would also love to see names like Hartford & Quebec return and have new teams in Seattle and Houston. The only way for that to happen is for an expansion. Now that would be great wouldnt it? We would have 32 teams spread over 4 divisions so 8 teams in each, everything would be nicely balanced. With the 2 Divisions in the West needing 2 extra teams, how about Seattle for the Pacific Division and Houston for the Central. It sure would be a perfect fit wouldn’t it? The NHL has denied here will be any future expansions, but then they also denied the Coyotes would move from Phoenix. If we have the same line ups in 5 seasons time I will be amazed.
Other Locations – A number of other locations have been mentioned over the years. As previously mentioned Houston. They along with Seattle and Atlanta are the biggest metro areas without a hockey team. Now Atlanta are not likely to get a third team are they? They have already failed twice spawning 2 Canadian teams. The Calgary Flames in the early 1980s and the Winnipeg Jets in 2011. When we last had a bidding process for expansion teams in 1991-93 (San Jose, Ottawa. Tampa Bay, Anaheim & Florida) & 1998-00 (Nashville, Atlanta, Columbus & Minnesota) Houston were always a name that wanted a piece of the action. Amazingly they have been overlooked every time yet, as has been proved by the success of the Dallas Stars, the Lone Star state has embraced hockey despite it being in the middle of Football country. A second team from Texas would certainly add some intense rivalry with the Dallas Stars.

Also mentioned before was the somewhat unlikely scenario of getting the Hartford Whalers back. Being located in-between 2 huge cities like New York and Boston, was not easy for the Connecticut based-team the last time around, so how it would be any different now? However that said, there was some thought that the Islanders might not be moving to the new NBA arena in Brooklyn after all and that maybe they will move out to Hartford. I don’t think it will happen, but it would be great if it did.

If those locations were obvious the next 3 are less so. When the Nashville Predators submitted their bid for a team to start playing in 1998, they were up against a bid from Little Rock, Arkansas. It is not somewhere you could ever imagine having an NHL team located, nor places like Norfolk Virginia who have also been casually mentioned. Cleveland’s name was another once in the frame, but despite having a team there in the past, being located to another Ohio based-team, like the Columbus Blue Jackets, and one that is struggling at that, is not likely at all to ever come into fruition. Salt Lake City is somewhere I have always thought should be in the frame, ever since they hosted the Winter Olympics in 2002. The Arena is already in place and would be a good location to rival teams like the Colorado Avalanche in the Mountain area.

North of the Border in Canada there are 4 possible locations, not counting Quebec City of course. Halifax, NS has been talked about lately. It is somewhat surprising given that it is such a small area, but there has been talk of growth in the area, and also a need to have a team based in the Atlantic Canada area. One outside bet was having a team in either Saskatoon or Regina. It is thought though that being not the largest of areas and with the Winnipeg Jets already in place, the central prairie area has already been taken. The biggest name that is forever linked with a franchise, keeps being that of Hamilton, but it has failed so many times in the past. Hamilton used to have a team, the Tigers, in the early days of the NHL and a series of bids have been launched to try and resurrect that once famous name. The problem they have is Hamilton’s proximity to 2 existing NHL teams, the Buffalo Sabres and the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Sabres have blocked moves for Hamilton to have an NHL team there in the past, due to worries it will impact on their supporter numbers, and you could hardly imagine the Maple Leafs would be happy at the thought, as Hamilton is even closer to them, this despite having a massive fan base. I think any proposed bid to get a team playing in Hamilton is dead in the water, although maybe in the future we may see the Sabres playing some games in the city. Much like when we saw teams playing in neutral venues in the mid-1990s, why not have a Sabres/Leafs game there? It would be a guaranteed sell out. The final location was a Southern Ontario/Greater Toronto area team maybe in a place like Vaughan or Markham. This has been mentioned a lot and again, although people are hockey mad in Toronto, would anyone connected to the Leafs really be that happy about such a proposal? I doubt it.

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