Sunday, 6 January 2013

1 - Pittsburgh Penguins

From superlative to stunned in about 156 minutes, that was the story of the 2012 Stanley Cup Playoffs for the Pens. After nearly 2 full seasons of playing without at least one of their stars because of injury, the Penguins were at full strength and considered one of the favorites to reach the Stanley Cup Final. In what would become a theme throughout their first-round series with the Flyers, the Penguins charged to a lead in Game 1, up 3-0 at the first intermission. Then it all fell apart. Pittsburgh's goal prevention had been suspect in the final weeks of the season, but the swiftness of the Penguins' collapse was incredible. The Flyers rallied for a 4-3 overtime victory in Game 1, then crushed the Penguins, 8-5 and 8-4, in the next two contests before eventually finishing off a defense-optional series in six games.

A shocking early exit, Pittsburgh's second straight first-round defeat, prompted questions at all levels of what once looked like Ryan Suter a burgeoning dynasty. GM Ray Shero set out to make changes this summer, and he positioned the franchise to try to add the top 2 players on the free-agent market. His push to land Zach Parise and did not work out, but the Penguins still have nearly $10 million salary-cap space. Pittsburgh reportedly is one of the teams pursuing Shane Doan, and Shero has a long track record of being willing to make high-profile trades. Shero made one franchise-altering trade this offseason. He dealt center Jordan Staal, one of the integral reasons for Pittsburgh's return to elite status, to the Carolina Hurricanes for center Brandon Sutter and 2 defense prospects, Derrick Pouliot (the No. 8 pick in the 2012 draft) and Brian Dumoulin. Shero also sent defenseman Zybenek Michalek back to the Phoenix Coyotes. If the Penguins don't make any more moves before the season starts, Sutter will replace Staal, and one of the team's young defense prospects will take Michalek's place in the lineup.

Trades


In: C Brandon Sutter (Carolina), G Tomas Vokoun (Washington), D Brian Dumoulin, LW Tanner Glass (Winnipeg), RW Benn Ferriero
Out: C Jordan Staal (Carolina), D Zbynek Michalek, LW Steve Sullivan, RW Arron Asham (NY Rangers)
UFAs: RW Richard Park (Swiss League), G Brent Johnson, RW Jason Williams, C Cal O'Reilly
Promotion candidates: D Simon Despres, D Brian Strait, D Brian Dumoulin, D Joseph Morrow, LW Eric Tangradi


For much of the 2011-12 season, there was one question that dominated, when will Sidney Crosby return? Evgeni Malkin won League MVP honors, and James Neal was a revelation as his sidekick, but Crosby's health was an ongoing saga. His first return from an injury presumed to be a concussion was mythical, but soon after he was back on the sidelines. The diagnosis of his injury came into question, and it seemed every accurate story about his rehabilitation process was flanked by nearly as many that weren't. The Penguins pressed on, and when Crosby returned a second time, everything seemed to fall into place for another run at the Stanley Cup. That run lasted less than two weeks, as holes in a leaky defense were smashed open by the rival Philadelphia Flyers. Now it has been 3 years since the Cup returned to Pittsburgh, and the Penguins have exactly one postseason series victory since. The loss to the Flyers and subsequent reaction this offseason has left some questions to answer, but the Penguins can be one of the top Cup contenders again in 2012-13.
Defense
There were warning signs before the Flyers put Pittsburgh to the sword with 30 goals in 6 games, including 20 as Philadelphia grabbed a 3-0 lead in the series. While the Penguins scored at least 4 goals in 12 of the final 15 regular-season games, they also conceded 3 or more 8 times. Goaltender, Marc-Andre Fleury had a nightmare series against the Flyers, but the guys in front of him deserved to share the blame. The Penguins left gaping swaths of open ice for the Flyers to exploit, and ill-timed turnovers exasperated the issue. Pittsburgh fans called for a major overhaul to the defensive line up, but so far the only guy who isn't on the roster from last year is Zbynek Michalek, who was traded to clear cap space for a run at Zach Parise and Ryan Suter. Unless general manager Ray Shero can make another trade, the main protagonists on the defense will be the same, with the addition of a young player from within. It isn't just the defensemen, either, the forwards have to help out and take some pressure off the defense as well. Michalek was dealt and Paul Martin's name was part of multiple trade rumors, but he is still with the Penguins. There are 6 defensemen currently on the roster on one-way contracts, though the Penguins probably don't want to start the season with exactly those 6. There are a bevy of young defensemen who will compete for at least one spot on the opening-night roster and maybe two, pending a decision to carry 7 or 8 rearguards. The obvious favorite is Simon Despres, who impressed in 18 games for Pittsburgh last season and could be ready for 18-20 minutes per night immediately. Other candidates include summer additions Brian Dumoulin and Dylan Reese, top prospect Joe Morrow and "veterans" Brian Strait, Robert Bortuzzo and Carl Sneep. 2012 first-rounders Derrick Pouliot and Olli Maatta and 2011 second-rounder Scott Harrington, who are all eligible to return to their Canadian junior teams, are long shots. If Shero were to trade for a veteran defenseman, I would expect a name or names from that group to be part of the package to get a deal done.
Goaltending
Ilya Bryzgalov had a miserable first playoff series for the Flyers, yet his ignominy was easily overshadowed by the goalie at the other end of the ice. Fleury allowed 26 goals in 5.5 games, producing a 4.63 GAA and .834 save percentage that wouldn't even have cut it in the mid-1980s. Fleury has had famous foul-ups before, but the way he lost "it" so suddenly was startling. The pressure to get off to a good start in 2012-13 will be immense. The addition of Tomas Vokoun as his backup should help lighten his workload, but if Fleury struggles like he did at the end of last season it could be a lot lighter than he wants it to be.
Forwards
Crosby, Malkin, Neal, Chris Kunitz and Pascal Dupuis are locks to be on one of Pittsburgh's top two forward lines with the current roster. Malkin, Neal and Kunitz were one of the top lines in the League last season, while Crosby and Dupuis have played together for a long time. Kunitz was the third member of that line before Crosby's health problems, and it is possible he returns to the line. That would leave a spot open next to Malkin and Neal, who were both First Team All-Stars last season. The top candidates are Matt cooke (19 goals last season), Tyler Kennedy (11) and Eric Tangradi (0 in 24 games). Dustin Jeffrey and top forward prospect Beau Bennett are the dark horses, while Shero could continue to look for an outside option.


Malkin became the fourth player in team history to win the Hart Trophy as League MVP, scoring 50 goals and an NHL-best 109 points despite missing 7 games. This was not Malkin's first time as the game's most dominant player (he was the Conn Smythe Trophy winner in 2009), but it was a worthy reward after 2 years of production below his expectations because of injury or lessened effectiveness. It must be noted that 2 of Malkin's 3 best finishes in the MVP race came in years when Crosby missed significant time (Malkin finished second in 2008, when Crosby missed time with a high ankle sprain, and 2009). He had no trouble continuing to produce at a world-class level once Crosby returned last season, but convincing voters that he is worthy of MVP honors if arguably one of the other top two centers in the League is also on his team could be tougher than a season ago. Crosby finished the regular season and playoffs without reporting any new or reoccurring health problems, but his ability to complete a full season will remain in question until he actually does it. Crosby had 8 goals and 37 points in 22 games, then added 8 points in 6 playoff games. It is possible the worst is over for Crosby, and he'll resume being the sport's dominant player in 2012-13. It will also probably be quite a long time before Penguins fans (and management) don't hold their breath any time Crosby lingers on the ice after a collision.


The Pittsburgh Penguins have been one of the NHL's elite teams for the past few years in large part because of talent and depth that few other teams could match. Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Jordan Staal were the backbone of back-to-back trips to the Stanley Cup Final and a championship in 2009. That depth allowed the Penguins to remain among the League's top clubs even when one of the "Big Three" went missing with an injury. After Staal's best season in 2011-12, he felt he was ready to handle more responsibility -- but wasn't optimistic he'd find it in the long term in Pittsburgh. He will get that chance after being traded to the Carolina Hurricanes on the first day of the 2012 NHL Draft. For the Penguins to give up such a valuable player and remain among the top contenders for the Stanley Cup, GM Ray Shero wanted some immediate help as part of the return. Not only did the Hurricanes have Staal's brother, Eric, they also had the perfect asset to begin a trade package, center Brandon Sutter. So the Penguins will move forward without a member of their "Big Three" but not without the same philosophy. Talent and depth at center will continue to be one of the Penguins' main strengths, provided Sutter acclimates well in his first season with Pittsburgh. Sutter had 17 goals and 32 points in 82 games for the Hurricanes last season. He's spent the past 3 seasons as either the No. 2 or No. 3 center in Carolina and earned a reputation as one of the top young two-way centers in the League. Staal is also in that group. The Penguins will be happy if Sutter can replicate Staal's work at the defensive end of the ice. Sutter led Carolina's forwards in shorthanded ice time last season, and Staal has been a key part of Pittsburgh's PK since his rookie year. Like Staal, there could be more offensive production in the future from Sutter, who will be 24 years old in February. He had 21 goals and 40 points in 2009-10, and while he'll spend most of his time on the third line, Pittsburgh coach Dan Bylsma likes to pair Crosby and Malkin at times, which would open a spot for Sutter on the second line. Sutter saw less than 30 seconds per game on the power play last season with Carolina, and it is possible he'll find a regular place on Pittsburgh's second unit. His durability could also lead to more opportunity, each of Crosby, Malkin and Staal have missed significant chunks of time with injury since the Penguins won the Cup. Staal had 25 goals and 50 points in 2011-12, but he also spent a lot of time among the top 6 forwards with Crosby out of the lineup. The Penguins won't expect Sutter to match those totals, especially if Crosby can play a full season. If Sutter's transition to his new team is smooth, there could be a new "Big Three" in Pittsburgh.


Dustin Jeffrey and Eric Tangradi have been on the verge of securing a more permanent role with the Penguins, and there is a chance each could do so this season. There is still loads of talent in Pittsburgh. Crosby and Malkin are the League's best 1-2 punch at center, provided they can both stay healthy for the first time in three years. Neal had a breakout season, and Kris Letang has developed into one of the NHL's top defensemen. The expectation to contend for the Stanley Cup remains the same. How the Penguins respond to the humbling experience of the 2012 playoffs will determine if Shero needs to make more major alterations.


Prospects
After winning the Stanley Cup with a core of homegrown players, the Penguins' prospect pipeline was left a little thin by trades, picking lower in the draft and some selections not reaching their potential. While the 2004 of 2005 drafts brought Crosby, Malkin, Letang, Goligoski and Kennedy, the only NHL regular Pittsburgh has drafted since 2006 is Jordan Staal, who was traded this summer to the Carolina Hurricanes. GM Ray Shero and his staff have been replenishing the system, particularly with blue-chip blue line prospects, and after early positive reviews on the 2011 and 2012 draft classes and the Staal trade, the Penguins' pipeline is flush again. Shero's group has clearly focused on defense, and Pittsburgh might have the deepest collection of potential impact defensemen in the League. The depth up front and in goal isn't nearly as strong, and a couple of the organization's top forward prospects have dealt with injury problems. Those aren't exactly pressing areas of need though with Crosby, Malkin, Neal and Fleury still on the front 9 of their careers.

1. Joseph Morrow, D: isn't expected to earn a roster spot at the start of this season. 23rd pick in the 2011 NHL Draft. 17 goals and 64 points for Portland in WHL 6ft1, 204 pounds. He will begin this season with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton of AHL, turns 20 in December and possesses the all-around skills to be a top-pairing defenseman in the NHL.
2. Simon Despres, D: ranked No. 8 among North American skaters by NHL Central Scouting in 2009, final pick of the first round. 6ft4, 214 pounds, skilled, impressed in limited duty with Pittsburgh last season. 5 goals and 15 points in 44 AHL games, 1 goal and 4 points in 18 appearances with the Penguins last year. Has the potential to be a top-4 defenseman and a long-term partner for Letang isn't out of the question.
3. Brian Dumoulin, D: least-publicized asset acquired from Carolina in the Staal trade, he could end up being just as important in the long term to the Penguins as Sutter od Pouliot. A finalist for the Hobey Baker Award as a junior last season with Boston College. Scoring 7 goals and 28 points while anchoring one of the best defense corps in the country for the NCAA champions. Having signed with the Hurricanes before the trade, he will begin the year in the AHL if he doesn't make the Penguins' roster out of training camp.
4. Olli Maatta, D: 2nd first-round choice in the 2012 Draft, 6ft2 and 206 pounds, had a strong first season with London in the OHL (5 goals, 27 points in 58 games and 23 points in 17 playoff games) ended up at No. 22 for the Penguins. Represented Finland at the 2012 WJC, just turned 19 likely to return to London for a second season.
5. Derrick Pouliot, D: 8th choice in the 2012 draft. Similar to Morrow as an offensively talented defenseman, 5ft11 and 195 pounds. Scoring 11 goals and 59 points in 72 games for Portland in the WHL last season while matching Morrow's postseason output (17 points in 22 games). He'll slide into Morrow's role as the No. 1 guy on the Winterhawks' blue line this season.
6. Beau Bennett, RW: Top forward prospect, a wrist injury limited him to 10 games in his sophomore season at the University of Denver. Scoring 4 goals and 13 points after a strong freshman season. 6ft2 and 207 pounds, the California native is the one forward in Pittsburgh's system with clear, top-six potential. Signed in April, likely to continue development with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton.
7. Scott Harrington, D: A second-round choice in 2011, Scored 3 goals and 26 points in 44 games for London last season. He made Canada's entry in the WJC., but was injured at the event and ended up missing part of the OHL season with a shoulder issue. He'll be back with the Knights for another season.
8. Brian Strait, D: Drafted in 2006, spent 3 seasons at Boston University before signing a professional contract. Stay-at-home type, had a couple of call-ups in the past 2 seasons, also amassing more than 200 games of AHL experience. Turns 25 in January. Would probably be more likely to stick as the 7th or 8th d-man than some of the younger options.
9. Ben Hanowski, RW: led St. Cloud State with 23 goals and 43 points last year as a junior, and will be the team's captain as a senior this fall. 3rd round pick in 2009, will turn 22 in October. 6ft2 and 198 pounds.
10. Matia Marcantuoni, C: For the 2nd year in a row was held back by injury. He's missed time with ankle and shoulder injuries as a well as a concussion, played 66 regular-season games in 2 years for Kitchener in the OHL. 6 ft and 197 pounds.

Lines
Forwards
Chris Kunitz- Sidney Crosby - Pascal Dupuis
Matt Cook - Evgeni Malkin - James Neal
Eric Tangradi - Brandon Sutter - Tyler Kennedy
Tanner Glass - Joe Vitale - Dustin Jeffrey
Craig Adams
Defensemen
Brooks Orpik - Kris Letang
Paul Martin - Matt Niskanen
Simon Despres - Deryk Engelland
Ben Lovejoy - Brian Strait
Goaltenders
Marc-Andre Fleury
Tomas Vokoun

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