Thursday, 10 January 2013

4 - Buffalo Sabres

The Buffalo Sabres did a lot of shopping last summer only to come up empty in the Eastern Conference playoff race. So this summer, they opted to pull in the reins. Owner Terry Pegula, who opened his checkbook last summer to bring in forward Ville Leino and defenseman Christian Ehrhoff, opted not to make any management changes, meaning Darcy Regier and Lindy Ruff, the NHL's longest-running GM-coach duo, will be back this season. So will No. 1 goaltender Ryan Miller, the top four on defense, and the three top scorers: Jason Pominville (73 points), Thomas Vanek (61) and Drew Stafford (50). It took a while for the newcomers to mesh last season. For the second year in a row, the Sabres got off to a slow start. But unlike 2010-11, they weren't able to dig out of their early hole and finished ninth, three points out of the last playoff berth in the East. Instead of going through a second summertime shakeup, Regier opted to bring back most of last season's cast, including late-season acquisition Cody Hodgson, who should slot in as one of the top two centers. The biggest change involved a trade with the Dallas Stars that moved slick center Derek Roy in exchange for feisty forward Steve Ott and depth defenseman Adam Pardy. Ott brings the kind of grit that hasn't been seen in Buffalo in years. He's a world-class pest who has enough offensive skills to slot in as a third-liner. He's also excellent in the faceoff circle. "Steve can play and complement the higher skilled guys and contribute in a lot of different ways," Regier said. "I think that he will be very valuable for us." Ott's arrival signals a change in philosophy. Having failed to join the NHL's elite as a skilled team, the Sabres are hopeful a mega-dose of grit from Ott will at least get them back into the playoffs. The only other significant departure was forward Brad Boyes, a huge disappointment after coming from the St. Louis Blues in 2011. He signed with the New York Islanders as a free agent. Miller missed time last season after being run over by Boston Bruins forward Milan Lucic, but in the final weeks of the season played his best hockey since he won the Vezina Trophy in 2010. Miller finished 31-21-7 with a 2.55 goals-against average and a save percentage of .916 – not bad, but not up to his performance of two seasons earlier (2.22, .929).


Additions: C Steve Ott, D Adam Pardy, C Kevin Porter, D John Scott

Subtractions: C Derek Roy, RW Brad Boyes

UFAs: C Jochen Hecht, RW Ales Kotalik

Promotion candidates: LW Marcus Foligno, D TJ Brennan, RW Joel Armia, D Brayden McNabb


The Sabres are deep on defense, though only 2010 Calder Trophy winner Tyler Myers is a right-handed shot. Myers, who missed time last season with a broken wrist and a fractured foot, has dropped from 48 points as a rookie to 37 then to 23 last season. Ehrhoff, who signed a 10-year deal before last season, fell from 50 points to 32, though that was tops among Buffalo defensemen. Roy's departure leaves a hole in the middle the Sabres might fill with one of their two first-round picks: Mikhail Grigorenko and Zemgus Girgensons. Either or both could start the season in Buffalo, although the Sabres haven't had an 18-year-old make the team since Pierre Turgeon did it 25 years ago. The Sabres' offensive strength is on the wing with Pominville, Vanek and Stafford. Late-season call-up Marcus Foligno averaged nearly a point per game, and Hodgson showed promise after a slow start following his acquisition from the Vancouver Canucks at the trade deadline. Leino, who struggled at center, will go back to the wing, where the Sabres hope his scoring touch will return. With Roy gone, Hodgson and diminutive Tyler Ennis (5-foot-9, 157 pounds) figure to be the first two centers, unless Grigorenko or Girgensons can dislodge one of them. "We have a number of young players that he will be competing with, but he will have every opportunity [to make the team]," Regier said of Grigorenko. "With younger players," Regier added, "the biggest challenge revolves around the maturity level of that individual on the ice — your ability to think the game. You're playing against men." The Sabres also added depth forward Kevin Porter and enforcer John Scott. But barring a major move between now and the start of the season, the core of the team is the same as the club that came up short last spring.
 
In back-to-back seasons, the Buffalo Sabres have gotten off to a bad start. They were able to overcome it in 2010-11 and make the playoffs but came up three points short last season. Buffalo has made the playoffs twice in the past five seasons and hasn't gotten past the first round since 2007, when the Sabres lost in the Eastern Conference Finals for the second year in a row. Miller was the MVP at the 2010 Winter Olympics and won the Vezina Trophy four months later. But he hasn't been nearly as good in the past two seasons, though his play improved down the stretch last season after he recovered from an injury, and he nearly carried the Sabres into the playoffs.The Sabres need Miller to play at an elite level for a full season (as he did in 2009-10) to return to the postseason. A good season from their most important player isn't good enough.

The Sabres are desperate for a big center and likely would love for either Mikhail Grigorenko or Zemgus Girgensons to make the roster and fill that hole. Both players looked good at development camp, and both have enough size to cope with the increased physicality they'll face in the NHL. Grigorenko is a little bigger and has played at a higher level, so he figures to have a better shot than Girgensons, who is eligible to play in the American Hockey League because he hasn't played in the Canadian Hockey League. Center is the weak link on the roster, so both players figure to get a chance to show they belong. Bounceback seasons from Hodgson and Leino could help the Sabres return to the Stanley Cup Playoffs in 2012-13.
Cody Hodgson was buried behind Henrik Sedin and Ryan Kesler with the Vancouver Canucks before coming to the Sabres at the trade deadline in exchange for Zack Kassian. Hodgson got off to a slow start with Buffalo, no points in nine games, then had six points in his next four, enough to demonstrate his skills. The trade that sent Derek Roy to the Dallas Stars leaves the Sabres without a top-line center, and Hodgson, chosen No. 10 in the 2008 NHL Draft, figures to get first crack at the job. If he isn’t up to the task, the Sabres will have a big hole in their offense.
Ville Leino had 21 points helping the Philadelphia Flyers get within two wins of the 2010 Stanley Cup and had the winning goal in Game 7 of their opening-round win against the Sabres in 2011, inspiring Buffalo to sign him to a six-year contract last summer. They tried him at center, an experiment that didn't work. His 25 points were less than half of what he produced in his final season with the Flyers. The Sabres need Leino to rebound to his 2010-11 form and provide the offense they'll miss after trading Roy for forward Steve Ott and defenseman Adam Pardy. But assuming Leino is moved back to wing, it may be hard for him to get top-six ice time on a team that's top-heavy there.
The roster lists nine players capable of being competent (or better) NHL defensemen. Five were regulars in Buffalo last season, and minor-leaguers Brayden McNabb and TJ Brennan showed promise when they were called up during the spate of injuries that decimated the blue line. The depth on defense opens up trade possibilities for general manager Darcy Regier if he wants to bring in a big-time forward. He could make a deal to change some of the cast on the blue line because Myers is the lone right-hand shot.
The addition of Ott and enforcer John Scott bring the kind of physicality that hasn't been seen in Western New York for years. Regier wants a change in philosophy, but will that turn the Sabres into a playoff team? Scott will have to work hard for fourth-line time – he barely played for the Rangers after being acquired from the Chicago Blackhawks at the deadline. But Ott is a legit top-nine forward and the type of superpest the Sabres haven't had in years. "We want to be a harder team to play against," coach Lindy Ruff said. "(Steve) brings a great work ethic to the game, plays with a certain amount of intensity. He walks the line every night. He's an agitating guy, and irritating guy to play against."

Every NHL team wants to be known as one that's tough to play against. With the acquisition of Steve Ott from the Dallas Stars during the summer, the previously pleasant Buffalo Sabres may have achieved that goal. The Sabres have been known for years as a team that had plenty of skill but was a little short in the grit department. Ott, in contrast, is about as much fun to play against as an angry porcupine; he seems to take great pride in being hated around the League. He'll do anything necessary to win, and he'll step in if he thinks opponents are taking liberties with a teammate, the Milan Lucic-Ryan Miller incident last season likely would have had a different outcome if Ott had been with the Sabres at the time. Ott's drive to win made him a fan favorite in Dallas, and one of the least popular players around the rest of the NHL. Ott, acquired with defenseman Adam Pardy in exchange for Derek Roy, has no intention of changing his style with his new team. "I hope I can bring that attitude," Ott said after the July 2 trade was completed. "I want to bring my consistency of being hard to play against every single night. I feel I've done that since the start of my career, and I feel I have a ton of game left. I haven't even reached part of my peak yet." The 29-year-old was fourth in the NHL last season with 278 hits in 74 games. He said Sabres fans can expect more of the same. "It's something I pride myself in, being at the top of leading the League in hits every single year playing a physical, hard, complete style of game," he said. "That's what I want to bring, I'm not changing my style. That's something I want to do, I want to be as consistent as possible, playing a mix of hard hockey with some skill set along with it." Ott is more than just player who makes a pest out of himself. He had 11 goals and a career-high 28 assists for 39 points last season and has averaged 15 goals and almost 35 points in the past five seasons to go along with an average of 155 penalty minutes in that span, including 156 in 2011-12. He also won more than 52 percent of his faceoffs and has enough offensive chops to play a top-six role in a pinch. Regier said the trade marked a change in philosophy for a franchise that has missed the playoffs in three of the past five seasons (including 2011-12) and was one-and-done in the other two. "I think more than anything else we needed to move the balance of skill versus the physical nature of our game and become a tougher team to play against," he said. "You need a blend of skill and grit and we were heavy on the skill side. The adjustment we wanted to make was to add to the grit side." Judging by Ott's first Twitter message after the deal, Regier will get just what he was looking for. "Now to my new Team Buffalo, I can't wait to Rock the East," Ott wrote.
The first full season for the Buffalo Sabres with owner Terry Pegula began with high expectations after a busy offseason. A concussion for goaltender Ryan Miller didn't help, but several players had subpar offensive seasons and a team that was supposed to be among the elite in the Eastern Conference struggled for much of the campaign.There was a late surge, and the Sabres nearly squeaked into the Stanley Cup Playoffs (they finished in ninth place, three points from eighth). But Buffalo was one of the biggest disappointments in 2011-12, and general manager Darcy Regier made some alterations this offseason. When Boston Bruins forward Milan Lucic bowled over Miller in open ice, the team's lack of a sufficient reaction became the linchpin for a narrative about its lack of toughness. The additions could help in that regard, as would better health for Miller and Tyler Ennis. It's possible the Sabres take a big step forward a season later than many pundits expected.
 
Here's what the Sabres' lineup could look like on opening night:
Forwards
Thomas Vanek - Cody Hodgson - Jason Pominville
Marcus Foligno - Tyler Ennis - Drew Stafford
Nathan Gerbe - Steve Ott - Ville Leino
Corey Tropp - Matt Ellis - Patrick Kaleta
Cody McCormick - John Scott
Defensemen
Jordan Leopold - Tyler Myers
Christian Ehrhoff - Robyn Regehr
Andrej Sekera - Mike Weber
Adam Pardy
Goaltenders
Ryan Miller
Jhonas Enroth
NOTES: The Sabres struck gold with the Foligno-Ennis-Stafford line near the end of last season, and leaving them together could give Hodgson a chance for a big role, though Ott could slide into a top-two spot at center if needed. Gerbe needs a strong start or he could get shuffled out of the mix after a bad 2011-12. Luke Adam was centering the "top" line early last season before being demoted; he could work his way back into a top-nine role with a strong camp. Much was made of the Scott addition, but it is hard to see him playing regularly without some injuries given the depth both up front and on the blue line. Buffalo has eight defensemen on one-way contracts plus promising Brayden McNabb and T.J. Brennan. Alexander Sulzer could end up in a battle with Pardy for a roster spot, especially if the team keeps a traditional 13th forward. Miller could have a big year if he's intent on reclaiming his status as the top American goaltender from Jonathan Quick of the Los Angeles Kings. If Miller does, Enroth could be back among that group of young backup goalies who might need a change of scenery to earn No. 1 playing time.

No comments:

Post a Comment