Thursday, 10 January 2013

5 - Montreal Canadiens

In the past calendar year, the Montreal Canadiens have dealt with more hardships, turmoil and upheaval than perhaps any other 12-month period in the organization's long and successful history. Since August 2011, the Canadiens waved goodbye to two head coaches (Jacques Martin and Randy Cunneyworth), a general manager (Pierre Gauthier), a former playoff hero (Michael Cammalleri), two veteran defensemen (Hal Gill and Jaroslav Spacek), an underachieving yet talented forward (Andrei Kostitsyn) and – most importantly – the team's four-year streak of playoff appearances. In a two-year span, the Canadiens went from being one of the final four teams left in the 2010 Stanley Cup Playoffs to finishing last in their conference for the first time in franchise history. An overhaul was not only necessary, it was welcomed. So 2012-13 will be the first chapter of the Marc Bergevin regime in Montreal, and the team's new general manager wasted little time putting his stamp on the Canadiens. In came his former mentor Rick Dudley to serve as his assistant, former teammate Scott Mellanby to fill the new position of director of player personnel, Martin Lapointe to also fill a new position as director of player development, and former Canadiens defenseman Patrice Brisebois to serve as a player development coach. Bergevin also hired Michel Therrien for a second tour of duty behind the Canadiens bench, and he will be assisted by newcomers Gerard Gallant and Jean-Jacques Daigneault, and Clement Jodoin, who worked as an assistant in Montreal once before.


Though the change has been drastic in the front office and on the coaching staff, the product on the ice should look very similar to the one that finished last season with seven wins in its last 23 games. And Therrien doesn't necessarily see that as a problem. "This team has potential. We can't forget that,” Therrien said when he was hired. "There are some good, young players to work with here." Indeed, the 2012-13 Canadiens will still be built around its young pillars at each position – Carey Price in goal, P.K. Subban on defense and Max Pacioretty at forward, three players who are still on the upswing of their respective development curves. Departed from the team that finished last season are forwards Mathieu Darche and Brad Staubitz and defenseman Chris Campoli (Darche and Campoli are still unrestricted free agents, but have been informed by the club that their services will no longer be needed). In their place, Bergevin landed forwards Brandon Prust and Colby Armstrong and defenseman Francis Bouillon on the free-agent market, three players known for their character, grit and toughness – qualities both Bergevin and Therrien identified as areas of weakness on the club. "I like these guys. They bring character, they bring sandpaper, they bring personality to our club, which I feel was missing last year," Bergevin said of his free-agent signings. "From day one, I wanted to build this team around character guys who put the team first, and that's what I think we did." Though the new additions do indeed add certain intangibles that should make the Canadiens a more difficult opponent in 2012-13, none are expected to put up gaudy offensive numbers. That responsibility will fall on the shoulders of incumbents Pacioretty, Erik Cole, David Desharnais, Tomas Plekanec and captain Brian Gionta.


Additions: D Francis Boullion, RW Brandon Prust, RW Colby Armstrong, G Cedrick DesjardinsSubtractions: RW Brad StaubitzUFAs: LW Mathieu Darche, D Chris CampoliPromotion candidates: D Nathan Beaulieu, C Gabriel Dumont, RW Brendan Gallagher

The Canadiens' offense last season was massively dependent on the line of Pacioretty, Desharnais and Cole to produce, with the trio accounting for 84 of the team's 207 goals (40.6 percent) and 66 of 148 goals at even strength (44.6 percent). A healthy season from Gionta – who missed the final 40 games of last season with a torn bicep muscle – would not only help remedy that one-dimensional attack with his own production, but it would likely improve the performance of Plekanec, who had a merry-go-round of wingers surrounding him last season and scored just 17 goals as a result, his lowest total since his rookie season. The Canadiens are also hoping Rene Bourque will find the form that allowed him to post consecutive 27-goal seasons before plummeting to 18 last season, including five in 38 games after his acquisition from the Calgary Flames. Then there's the wild card of Alex Galchenyuk, the No. 3 pick in the 2012 NHL Draft who could conceivably make the club at center, as well as young forwards Lars Eller and Louis Leblanc, who could be poised for breakout seasons. On defense, the biggest change will be a healthy Andrei Markov. When he is on top of his game, Markov is the Canadiens' most important player. However, Markov was clearly not himself in the 13 games he played last season, exhibiting tentativeness and a lack of timing after rehabbing knee injuries for the better part of two years. If Markov can return to the form that saw him finish second among the League's defenseman in points in his last complete season in 2008-09, the Canadiens could very well be a vastly improved club. In spite of their lowly finish in the standings, the Canadiens had a goal differential of just minus-7 (once the "goals" for shootout wins and losses are taken away), which was seventh best in the Eastern Conference. Some continued improvement from their young core, some rebounds from veterans coming off a bad season, and a jolt of energy created by the new blood in the front office and coaching staff could very well propel this club back into the playoffs in 2012-13.


The Montreal Canadiens are coming off one of the worst seasons in franchise history, and that alone would suggest the questions facing this club for the upcoming season are numerous. But with a new general manager in Marc Bergevin, a vastly revamped front office and a new coaching staff led by Michel Therrien, the potential for questions grows exponentially.

No player among the Montreal Canadiens' skaters is as important to the team's success as Andrei Markov. Reinserting Markov as the team's No. 1 defenseman has a ripple effect on the remainder of the defense. P.K. Subban would no longer be leaned on as hard to both shut down the opposition's top forwards and also produce offensively, perhaps allowing him some latitude to further exploit his exceptional offensive gifts. Tomas Kaberle would become a third-pairing defender and second-power-play-unit quarterback, which makes him a luxury. Alexei Emelin would have a Russian mentor on the bench to help him make adjustments and continue the remarkable improvement he showed last season as a hard-hitting, physically intimidating defenseman. Overall, the group would be playing in roles they are suited for. Markov's impact on the Canadiens' power play is easy to forget because he's been hurt for so long, but he was a major reason why Montreal had a top-five power play in 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2010. Recovering from two consecutive anterior cruciate ligament tears in his right knee, Markov has worked extremely hard to have an opportunity to prove he can still perform at that game-changing level. The Canadiens' chances for success in 2012-13 rest largely on his ability to do just that.
 
Is David Desharnais a legitimate No. 1 center? Former Canadiens coach Randy Cunneyworth was asked this very question last season in the midst of a torrid scoring stretch from Desharnais. "Please," Cunneyworth responded, "go ask him that question yourself." Cunneyworth obviously recognized that much of the success Desharnais has known at every level of hockey he has played – from major junior to the ECHL to the AHL to the NHL – has been fueled by his desire to prove his doubters wrong. Listed at 5-foot-7, 177 pounds, Desharnais pounced on the opportunity he was given to center Max Pacioretty and Erik Cole to post a 60-point season, 20th among NHL centers and beating out decorated colleagues Stephen Weiss, Ryan Getzlaf and Paul Stastny. Desharnais is entering the final year of his contract and the questions regarding his legitimacy as a top-line center will probably remain unless he's able to repeat his performance from last season. Of course, those continued questions may very well be the fuel Desharnais needs to silence them for good.

As popular as the hiring of Marc Bergevin as the team's new general manager appeared to be among the Canadiens fans and media, the rehiring of Michel Therrien as coach was met with a chorus of indignation. Many fans and media were still hot over their belief that Therrien cost the Canadiens a second-round Stanley Cup Playoff series against the Carolina Hurricanes in 2002, when his unsportsmanlike conduct penalty in Game 4 paved the way for a three-goal Hurricanes' comeback in the third period to tie the series 2-2. Montreal went on to lose the series in six games, and Therrien was fired the following season. After a very successful stint in the American Hockey League, Therrien coached 272 regular-season games with the Pittsburgh Penguins from 2005 to 2009, and in his first full season the club improved from 58 points in 2005-06 to 105 points in 2006-07 before reaching the Stanley Cup Final in 2007-08. The Canadiens are banking on the improvement of young stars like Price and Subban to take the team's performance to the next level. So in his two NHL head coaching stints, Therrien has proven an ability to have a positive impact on a struggling club. But Therrien's history in Montreal will make it so a rough start to the season – or even a little slump at some point – could shine a bright spotlight on the coach. His ability to handle the inevitable firestorm over any swoon the team may experience will be very telling as to the ability of Therrien version 2.0 to handle the Montreal market.

While Markov is an extremely important piece of the puzzle, the Canadiens are being built around Carey Price in goal, Subban on defense and Pacioretty at forward. Price signed a six-year, $39 million contract extension July 2, giving him the third-highest cap hit among NHL goalies behind Nashville's Pekka Rinne and the Rangers' Henrik Lundqvist. Price finished 20th last season in save percentage at .916 and 18th in goals-against average at 2.43, but on many nights he was the only thing separating a one-goal Canadiens loss from an embarrassing blowout. With his 25th birthday coming up Aug. 16 and the possibility of a more structured team in front of him, there's no reason to believe Price won't improve, even though the pressure to do so will be enormous. Subban, 23, finished fifth in scoring on the Canadiens with 36 points while facing the opposition's top forwards every night at even strength and on the penalty kill. His entry into the NHL has been very impressive, but he's also been the target of a lot of criticism for the way he plays the game, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. However, his next step will be to become a team leader, a quality that will need to emerge this season. Finally, Pacioretty, also 23, led the Canadiens in scoring with 65 points and showed that he is ready to emerge as one of the NHL's top power forwards, but the pressure is on him to repeat last season's performance.

The poster boy for the underachiever label on the Canadiens is Scott Gomez, the team's highest-paid player, who produced 11 points in 38 games of an injury-riddled season. Since being acquired in a much-maligned trade from the New York Rangers on June 30, 2009, Gomez's production has gone from 0.76 points per game in 2009-10 to 0.48 in 2010-11 to 0.29 in 2011-12. There's little reason to believe Gomez will be able to turn it around in 2012-13, but at 32 years old, it's not completely outside the realm of possibility. A more legitimate candidate to bounce back would be Rene Bourque, who scored 27 goals in back-to-back seasons with the Calgary Flames in 2009-10 and 2010-11, but never found his niche in Montreal after a Jan. 12 trade to the Canadiens. While Bourque has been a target for criticism for his lack of consistency and unwillingness to effectively use his physical gifts, he is far from done at age 30 and could benefit from having a full season with the Canadiens to bounce back and put up similar numbers to his two previous years in Calgary.

A consistent criticism of the Canadiens over the past few years has been their lack of size and physicality. Bergevin clearly felt the same way.

Playing in a Northeast Division where the rough and tough Boston Bruins are king, Bergevin increased the truculence quotient of his team by signing New York Rangers tough guy Brandon Prust to a four-year, $10 million contract on July 1. While the dollar figure for the League's co-leader in fighting majors (tied at 20 with Boston's Shawn Thornton) was high, Prust's ability to stand up for his teammates while also serving as an effective penalty killer who doesn't hurt the club at even strength added a needed element to the Canadiens. "I think they're lacking someone like me in their lineup," Prust said when he signed with Montreal. The addition of Prust coupled with the re-signings of Travis Moen and Ryan White gives the Canadiens three forwards who aren't afraid to drop the gloves. Free-agent acquisitions Colby Armstrong at forward and Francis Bouillon on defense are also tough customers in the sense that they play a physical game, but both have a history of injuries as a result of that style of play. Still, a potential fourth line of Prust, White and Moen gives the Canadiens a physically intimidating presence the team has lacked for years. If bangers Armstrong and Bouillon can remain healthy while Emelin continues his progression to becoming one of the League's elite open-ice hitters, the Canadiens may not carry the reputation of being an easy opponent for much longer. Last season was a disaster in La Belle Province. The Montreal Canadiens lost seven of their first eight games, and coach Jacques Martin eventually was replaced by Randy Cunneyworth. Montreal finished last in the Eastern Conference, and it led to sweeping changes in the organization.


Some of the problems in Montreal last season were bad luck. Scott Gomez, Andrei Markov and Brian Gionta, three of the team's four highest-paid players, played 82 games combined. The fourth, Mike Cammalleri, was traded to the Calgary Flames. The Canadiens scored 2.52 goals per game but were incredibly inconsistent. They scored one or zero goals 26 times, and were 0-24-2 in those games. To compare, the Los Angeles Kings scored fewer than two goals 27 times but managed to collect 13 points (3-17-7). Montreal also lost a League-high 12 games in the shootout.


New general manager Marc Bergevin added some depth and a new (sort of) coach, Michel Therrien. The Canadiens will need more from their top players this season, and that starts with better health. With strong play from goalie Carey Price and some better luck, it could be a quick turnaround.

Here's what the Canadiens' lineup could look like on opening night:

Forwards

Max Pacioretty - David Desharnais - Erik Cole

Rene Bourque - Tomas Plekanec - Brian Gionta

Travis Moen - Lars Eller - Brandon Prust

Colby Armstrong - Scott Gomez - Louis Leblanc

Petteri Nokelainen

Defensemen

Josh Gorges - P.K. Subban

Andrei Markov - Alexei Emelin

Tomas Kaberle - Raphael Diaz

Francis Bouillon - Yannick Weber

Goaltenders

Carey Price

Peter Budaj


NOTES: Pacioretty, Desharnais and Cole were one of the League's most lethal lines when they were put together, so it would make sense for Therrien to leave them alone and figure out the rest. The Canadiens are going to need more from Bourque. The emergence of Desharnais and Eller last season doesn't leave a lot of room for Gomez, and Leblanc and Brendan Gallagher could move ahead of him in the pecking order for prime ice time. A lot of eyes will be on 2012 first-round draft pick Alex Galchenyuk in training camp, but he missed almost an entire year of development with a knee injury. Unless he clearly earns a spot in the top six, he'll return to the junior ranks for 2012-13. If Markov is healthy, he's going to play a lot. Where Kaberle fits is more of a mystery. Emelin and Diaz are promising, and Boullion was a solid addition. It is already crowded on the back end, so 2011 first-round pick Nathan Beaulieu is in a position similar to Galchenyuk. Price is a proven workhorse, but like others, a little less could mean more. If Therrien's staff doesn't trust Budaj or he struggles, the addition of Cedrick Desjardins could prove to be a nice one. Injuries have derailed him a bit, but there's plenty of potential in Guy Boucher's former American Hockey League netminder.


The Montreal Canadiens will enter training camp for the 2012-13 season with a glaring hole among their top six forwards, one the team hopes can be filled internally. There aren't too many candidates to fill the need for a fourth scoring option on the wing, but if Rene Bourque can get back to being the player who scored 27 goals in back-to-back seasons with the Calgary Flames, he would fit the bill quite nicely. Bourque scored five goals in 38 games after he was acquired by the Canadiens in exchange for proven goal-scorer and playoff performer Michael Cammalleri – a trade finalized during the second intermission of a Jan. 12 Habs game in Boston. New general manager Marc Bergevin was a scout for the Chicago Blackhawks when Bourque cracked the NHL with the team in 2005, and he was in the front office when Bourque was traded to the Flames for a draft pick in 2008. But Bergevin was impressed with the numbers Bourque put up in Calgary and remains hopeful he can do the same in Montreal. "He scored 27 goals two years ago," Bergevin said. "I know he had an off year, but I'm not ready to write him off." In all likelihood, Bourque will be placed on the left wing of center Tomas Plekanec on the Canadiens' second line, but that pairing was disastrous for Montreal last season. However, the struggles of that line could have been because the right wing spot was a revolving door, with a steady stream of candidates coming in and out. Having team captain Brian Gionta, who missed the last 40 games of last season with a torn bicep muscle, on the line could help a great deal. Even though Bourque put up great numbers while in Calgary, he was often criticized for having a poor work ethic, a lack of consistency and an unwillingness to use his 6-foot-2, 211-pound frame to its full potential. The same tendencies were seen in Montreal, but they were made even more glaring by his lack of production. New Canadiens coach Michel Therrien has a zero-tolerance policy for a lack of effort from his players, so perhaps he will be able to coax the necessary hustle out of Bourque. If not, the Canadiens will need to look elsewhere to fill out their top six forwards.

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