Monday, 14 January 2013

3 - St Louis Blues

After a 109-point season, the St. Louis Blues spent the summer locking up the talent that made it happen instead of making changes after a second-round playoff exit. Blues general manager Doug Armstrong signed forward David Perron to a four-year deal, then followed that by inking forward T.J. Oshie with a five-year deal. Perron, 24, and Oshie, 25, had arguably their best offensive seasons as professionals. Oshie had a career-best 54 points in 80 games while Perron's 42 points were nine short of a career high, but he reached that number in just 57 games after returning from a concussion. "With both David and T.J., those are two players that we've spent quite a bit of time cultivating and ... it was important for our organization to keep these players through the prime of their careers," Armstrong told Jeremy Rutherford of the St. Louis Post Dispatch. "Both of these players, especially David Perron at such a young age coming into the League, he'll be right in the middle of his prime years when his contract is up in four years. T.J. Oshie is a little older and signed up for a longer time. "It's important to have these guys that we believe can be a large part of the solution signed up." It's not just Oshie and Perron who are back, it's almost everyone. Of the Blues' 18 leading scorers, only Jason Arnott (17-17-34) and Carlo Colaiacovo (2-17-19) won't be back next season. Both are unrestricted free agents who have yet to sign with a new club. The biggest addition to the Blues' roster is the 6-foot, 200-pound Vladimir Tarasenko, the team's first-round pick at the 2010 Draft who has spent the previous four seasons in the KHL. The 20-year-old winger amassed 100 points in 176 games in a career that began as a 16-year-old. "He's obviously a right winger coming off the off wing, and I think he needs to play with people who have the ability to play a similar style," Blues coach Ken Hitchcock said of the left-handed Tarasenko to the Dispatch. "For him to be effective, he's got to play in the top nine. I don't think we're thinking that he's a 20-year-old. I think we're thinking that he's a young guy that's had great experience that's really going to help him. I've talked to people that have coached him. They know age-wise he's not an older player, but experience-wise he is." While the Blues didn't make any big splashes this summer, they can look for a boost by simply having their best offensive players remain healthy this season. The Blues scored just 2.51 goals per game in 2011-12 to rank 21st in the League. A lot of that had to do with key offensive players missing time. Perron (24 games, concussion), Andy McDonald (57 games, concussion, shoulder), Alexander Steen (39 games, concussion) all had extended absences at varying points of the season. How big of a loss was it? Perron, McDonald and Steen combined for 92 points in 125 games, an average of 0.74 points game. To give an idea of what the Blues were missing from their lineup on most nights, Rick Nash averaged 0.72 points per game for the Blue Jackets last season.
Additions: D Jeff Woywitka, D Taylor Chorney
Subtractions: RW B.J. Crombeen
UFAs: D Carlo Colaiacovo, C Jason Arnott, D Kent Huskins, LW Chris Porter
Promotion candidates: RW Vladimir Tarasenko, C Jaden Schwartz, D Cade Fairchild


There's no guarantee those players exceed their totals in points and games played this year, but if they do, the Blues could be the most dangerous team in the League. "I think you score in the NHL by committee," Hitchock told the Dispatch. "The formula for winning is the same. It's three competitive center-icemen, good depth on defense and great goaltending. That's what wins in the NHL. You look at all the teams that did well this year, that's what they've got. We've got it within our group. If we're healthy, it's sitting there in our group." Forward B.J. Crombeen (three points in 40 games) was traded to the Tampa Bay Lightning in exchange for draft picks. Defenseman Kent Huskins, who missed 46 games with a fractured left ankle, remains an unrestricted free agent. The Blues boast one of the best blue-line corps in the League along with a deadly goaltending duo in Jaroslav Halak and Brian Elliott. If this young team can grow, stay healthy and learn from last season's sweep at the hands of the Kings, they have a chance to raise the Stanley Cup for the first time in franchise history. "Every player that I've talked to feels that there's another gear in us, and we can get to that gear now that we have that experience," Hitchcock told the Dispatch. "I think what really showed in the playoffs was that we were inexperienced at the level of commitment necessary to win against a really good team. The temperature of the games went up and we hadn't been involved in anything like that before. It was like 'on-the-job training.' Now we know what it's like and our players won't be surprised by it."

When a team puts together a 109-point season and has almost its entire roster back for the following season, there aren't too many questions surrounding the club. The Blues ran into the Los Angeles Kings' juggernaut in the second round and lost in four games, ending a season that was as remarkable as it was surprising. What must the Blues do to get back to the postseason and beyond the second round? Here are some questions that could affect that.

The tandem of Jaroslav Halak and Brian Elliott was one of the most effective in NHL history last season, as it nearly had an even split in starts and combined for a 1.78 goals-against average and .932 save percentage. Halak went 26-12-7 in 46 starts and Elliott went 23-10-4 in 36 starts. Elliott found himself in the net far more often than expected because of Halak's early-season struggles, but the firing of coach Davis Payne and hiring of coach Ken Hitchock changed the fortunes of Halak and the Blues. During the postseason, Halak suffered an injury and made just two starts. Elliott took over and was in net for the Blues' four-game sweep at the hands of the Kings. Halak was signed to be the team's No. 1 goaltender and should see a bigger bulk of the work this season assuming he is healthy. But if he struggles, the Blues have a capable backup in Elliott who can get the job done. Depending on a lot of factors, it could be anything from a straight platoon to one of the goalies seizing control of the job of full-time.

After four seasons in the KHL, the talented Vladimir Tarasenko will begin his career in the NHL. The 20-year-old finished tied for eighth in the KHL in scoring last season with 23 goals and 47 points in 54 games after finishing tied for second in points with 11 in seven games as a member of Russia's gold-medal team at the 2011 World Junior Championships. Blues coach Ken Hitchock envisions Tarasenko playing somewhere in the top-nine. Whether a player is arriving from Russia, Sweden or the AHL, a rookie's first season in the NHL is rarely an easy one. But if he can contribute offensively to a team that had a hard time scoring last year, he'll be a valuable piece to an already solid team.

After two straight 28-goal seasons, Chris Stewart plummeted to 15 goals and 30 points in 79 games. He had two goals in seven playoff games and was a healthy scratch during the postseason. The Blues gave up franchise defenseman Erik Johnson to land Stewart and defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk at the 2011 trade deadline, and Stewart had 15 goals in his first 26 games in St. Louis. Offense was a problem for the Blues last season, and Stewart rediscovering his scoring touch would go a long way toward remedying those woes.

Let's be honest, no one thought the St. Louis Blues were going to finish second the West last season. Even fewer people thought that when coach Davis Payne was fired 13 games into the season and replaced with Ken Hitchcock. In the previous six seasons, the Blues never finished higher than third in the Central, made one trip to the postseason and were swept away in four games. Was last year an instance of all the Blues' young players coming into their own all at once? Whether the Blues contend for the League's best record again remains to be seen, but their 109 points came in a season with three of their best players (David Perron, Andy McDonald, Alex Steen) missing a lot of time and Stewart playing so poorly he was seeing fourth-line minutes at times. With a solid young defense corps and two top goaltenders, the Blues should contend for a Cup if they can stay healthy.

The Blues were 21st in goals last season and decided against bringing in a proven scorer during the offseason. Tarasenko will join the club, but he's hardly a Rick Nash acquisition or a Zach Parise or Alex Semin signing. So with the same cast of characters in 2012-13, the Blues will be relying on a full season from its players who dealt with injuries last season and a resurgent campaign from Stewart. Perron (24 games, concussion), McDonald (57 games, concussion, shoulder), Steen (39 games, concussion) all had extended absences at varying points of the season. Perron, McDonald and Steen combined for 92 points in 125 games, an average of 0.74 points game, which is a big hole in the lineup when they are absent. Stewart will also be counted upon to return to his nearly 30-goal form of the previous two seasons.

There may not have been a more underrated player in the NHL last season than Alex Pietrangelo. The 22-year-old finished fifth among defenseman in scoring with 51 points, which were the third-most on a Blues' team that had a hard time scoring goals. He averaged 24:43 of ice time, 16th-most in the NHL, and was plus-16. Despite his youth, he was routinely matched up against the opposition's top lines. With Nicklas Lidstrom retired, that's one less obstacle standing in Pietrangelo's way. The King City, Ontario, native will also benefit from a full season in Hitchcock's defensive system. The Norris voting can be based somewhat on reputation, but if he can improve slightly on his offensive numbers without losing his defensive edge, he could be on the short list for the award. The veteran had two more goals than Chris Stewart, who was expected to do big things last year after two consecutive seasons of 28 goals. Whether Stewart bounces back this season remains to be seen, but he has spent the offseason doing everything possible after listening to advice from Arnott. "I talked to a guy like Jason Arnott, who really prides himself on his nutrition and who really takes care of himself," Stewart told reporters. "We talked about it during the year, but at the end of the year, we sat down, talked about it and he really said if I can commit myself to the gym this summer and come back here that I can be a difference-maker next year. "You can't really read into the hype or the hoopla. Everyone's entitled to write what they want. I do see myself as a goal-scorer in this League. That's something I can do. I think this year was a learning experience and a good year learning how to be a pro and what you've got to do to be successful in this League and look toward next year." The 6-foot-2, 230-pound Stewart is a mountain of a man who will be 25 years old in October. He was acquired at the 2011 trade deadline from the Colorado Avalanche, along with defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk, in exchange for defenseman Erik Johnson and forward Jay McClement. Stewart made an immediate impact with 15 goals in 26 games. That performance raised expectations for the Toronto native the following season. But instead of reaching 30 or 40 goals or matching his output of the previous two seasons, Stewart found himself in a slump like never before in his career. After scoring twice in the Blues' first two games, he went 10 games before scoring another goal. After that tally, he went another nine games before scoring his fourth goal of the season. Stewart had five stretches of at least six games without a goal and ended the nightmare season with zero goals in 13 games. "When you do struggle a little bit, it starts to get your confidence," Stewart said. "You try to change your game or over-compensate. You can't really worry about it. "I've got to be the player that I am. I've got to do the things that made me successful this year. I've got to get back to being Chris Stewart, just be me and playing my game. I got myself into this. I'm the only one that can get myself out of it and I'll do it. You can't really read into the hype or the hoopla. Everyone's entitled to write what they want. I do see myself as a goal-scorer in this League. That's something I can do. I think this year was a learning experience and a good year learning how to be a pro and what you've got to do to be successful in this League and look toward next year." Stewart is hoping that trainer Matt Nichol, who has worked with Mats Sundin, Michael Cammalleri and Lee Stempniak, will have the tonic for what ailed him last season. Blues coach Ken Hitchcock believes it's a step in the right direction. "I'm really excited because, to me, [Stewart] is starting to turn the corner we've needed him to turn," Hitchcock told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. "He has elite skill, he's an elite athlete, but now he's followed it with a high level of fitness training. Like, we're talking high level. Where he's at, the people that he's working with, it's a real high level of fitness training. He's getting pushed hard every day and he's responded. So, he's started to figure it out, and he's starting to figure out that you can't just rely on your skill level." "When you just rely on your skill level, you go through peaks and valleys. You score 30 one year, 10 the next. When you just rely on your skill, people you play against end up outworking you. [Stewart’s] figured out that he wants to have a long career. It's not like he's suddenly found a trainer. What he's found is that he can only get so far himself doing the training. Now he's got somebody pushing him really hard every day. I'm really proud of him."


The timeline for teams who have committed to rebuilding through the draft has worked almost like clockwork in cities such as Pittsburgh, Chicago and Washington. Absorb many defeats on the ice for two-to-three years, collect high picks and watch the franchise go from pretender to contender almost overnight. This is not how the script played out in St. Louis. After the Blues were bad for a few years (with a slightly surprising surge toward the middle after hiring Andy Murray mixed in), they made the playoffs in 2008-09 but were knocked out in the first round. Instead of taking the next step forward and becoming a serious contender, the Blues went sideways for two years. The collection of young talent finally, after another coaching change, put it all together in 2011-12. St. Louis roared toward the top of the Western Conference, winning arguably the strongest division in the League and earning the No. 2 seed for the postseason. With Ken Hitchcock in charge, the Blues expect their upward development curve to continue. To that end, the only major addition to the lineup this season will likely be top prospect Vladimir Tarasenko. Considering that the only other playoff team from the West last season to add an impact player without subtracting was San Jose -- the team St. Louis dispatched in the first round, the Blues should be considered one of the favorites to win the conference this season. Two of the contenders in the Central Division lost franchise defensemen (Detroit and Nashville), while Vancouver's path to a Northwest title (and the No. 1 seed) looks quite a bit tougher after each of the other four teams in the division improved this offseason. Toss in how competitive the Pacific was last year and should be again this season, and the top seed in the West could be a possibility for St. Louis. The Blues are loaded, and provided Ian Cole or Cade Fairchild is ready for regular NHL minutes, the lineup looks like one of the League's best.

Forwards

David Perron - David Backes - T.J. Oshie

Andy McDonald - Patrik Berglund - Chris Stewart

Alexander Steen - Vladimir Sobotka - Vladimir Tarasenko

Matt D'Agostini - Scott Nichol - Jamie Langenbrunner

Ryan Reeves

Defensemen

Ian Cole - Alex Pietrangelo

Kevin Shattenkirk - Barrett Jackman

Kris Russell - Roman Polak

Jeff Woywitka

Goaltenders

Jaroslav Halak

Brian Elliott

NOTES: Hitchcock will make Tarasenko earn important minutes, but if he's as advertised and the forwards can collectively stay healthy, the Blues are going to score more goals this season. There's so much potential for improvement here beyond adding Tarasenko, whether it is a full season from Perron, McDonald and Steen or Stewart returning to pre-2011-12 form. The team's second-best forward prospect, Jaden Schwartz, could also force his way into the lineup with a strong training camp. There is less known depth on the blue line, but that perception would change if Cole and Fairchild are ready. Pietrangelo is a star, but he also spent nearly 73 percent of his even-strength ice time with either Carlo Colaiacovo or Kent Huskins, both of whom are no longer with the team. If Cole isn't ready for big minutes, any of Jackman, Shattenkirk or Russell could slide into that spot on the top pairing. If Cole or Fairchild aren't going to be every-night guys, expect them to be sent to the American Hockey League instead of the press box. Halak and Elliott formed a deadly tandem last season, but Elliott was a mess in the playoffs after Halak got hurt. Expect Halak to see a little more of the workload this season if both guys stay healthy.

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