Friday, 11 January 2013

1 - Winnipeg Jets

The Winnipeg Jets were a smashing success in their first season in Canada, everywhere but in the Eastern Conference playoff race, a situation they're hoping to remedy in year two. The transplanted Atlanta Thrashers were beloved in their new home, which pined for NHL hockey since the original Jets left for Phoenix 15 years earlier. A crowd of 15,004 fans packed MTS Centre for each of the Jets' 41 home games, giving the franchise the kind of love and support it rarely enjoyed down South. The Jets responded by going 23-13-5 in front of the home folks, up from 17-17-7 in the Thrashers' last season. MTS Centre quickly developed a reputation as one of the toughest places in the League for road teams, and with another season of packed houses all but assured, visitors figure to have an even tougher time winning in Winnipeg. The Winnipeg Jets filled their biggest need by signing arguably the best center on the free-agent market this summer in Olli Jokinen. The Jets improved by only four points (80 to 84) from the previous season and missed the playoffs for the fifth straight time, so general manager Kevin Cheveldayoff knew he had to make some moves, especially in the middle, where the club needed the most help. Cheveldayoff hopes he's filled that void by signing Olli Jokinen, who had 23 goals and 61 points for the Calgary Flames last season. Jokinen isn't the 30-goal scorer he was for the Florida Panthers a few years ago, but he's better than anyone the Jets have and gives them a legit first-line man in the middle. "We're very, very excited to get him," Cheveldayoff said. "He's got size and a tremendous amount of experience. We believe that with adding the size of [Alexei] Ponikarovsky and now Jokinen that we're a much bigger and harder team to play against. We worked extremely hard at this deal as we did on other deals that didn't come in our direction. All you can do is put your best offers forward and we're very happy to have Olli as part of the Winnipeg Jets family."

An added bonus for one of the NHL's smaller groups of centers is that Jokinen is 6-foot-3 and 210 pounds, meaning he adds size as well as skill. "His size comes to the forefront," Cheveldayoff said. "He's difficult to handle when he gets moving and he does move very well. He likes to shoot the puck and he's not afraid to do that, and there are lots of opportunities for him to score and opportunities for other players to score off of rebounds and create plays." The Jets also added Ponikarovsky, a valuable forward in the New Jersey Devils' run to the Stanley Cup Final. He should be a solid third-liner, he's scored 20 or more goals four times in his career and had 14 goals and 33 points with the Carolina Hurricanes and New Jersey last season despite minimal power-play time. The Jets are hopeful Ponikarovsky will provide a spark to former Toronto Maple Leafs teammate Nik Antropov, whose production has dropped from 24 goals and 67 points in 2009-10 to 15 and 35 last season. Jokinen's arrival should take some of the pressure off Antropov, who found himself on the fourth line at times. While the middle has been a muddle, the Jets do have some talent on the wings. Evander Kane had 30 goals in his third NHL season, up from 14 and 19 in his first two, and all indications are he'll be a star. Blake Wheeler led the Jets with 47 assists and 61 points, and captain Andrew Ladd scored 28 times while providing leadership for a group of players that had to relocate from Atlanta to Winnipeg in a short amount of time.

There's also plenty of offense from the blue line. Dustin Byfuglien's 53 points tied him for second among NHL defensemen, and Tobias Enstrom and Zach Bogosian each finished with at least 30 points. They were part of the reason the Jets were second in the NHL in power-play success at home (22.0 percent) and 12th overall (17.9 percent). The Jets used their first-round pick on USNTDP defenseman Jacob Trouba, who for now is headed to the University of Michigan. The Jets took Trouba because most of their problems are in their own zone, their 242 non-shootout goals allowed were 26th in the 30-team NHL. Most of those came on the road, where the Jets were 14-22-5. The defense has to give more help to goaltender Ondrej Pavelec, whose 2.91 goals-against average and .906 save percentage in 68 appearances weren't helped by seeing more than 34 shots per 60 minutes of playing time. Al Montoya, who played with the New York Islanders last season, was signed to back up Pavelec, who received a new five-year deal this offseason. Aside from the addition of Jokinen, the Jets seem determined to improve mostly from within, by letting young players Kane, Bogosian and Mark Scheifele grow into their roles. Cheveldayoff is hopeful the addition of Jokinen will speed up the maturation process, but the GM seems determined to go for steady progress rather than splashy signings.


The Jets chased a playoff berth last season without a whole lot of production at center. That should change now that they've signed Olli Jokinen to a two-year deal. While the 33-year-old may not be the offensive force he was a few years ago (91 points in 2006-07), he's a huge upgrade for the Jets, Winnipeg's top four scorers last season were wings or defensemen. Jokinen also is used to the pressure of playing in Canada, a consideration he doesn't take lightly. "Very excited about joining the Winnipeg Jets and getting a chance to play in front of the loudest fans in Canada!," he said via his Twitter account after the signing. Jokinen isn't going to make anyone forget Wayne Gretzky. But he's been remarkably durable (1,042 games and at least 76 in every season since 1998-99) and consistent (292 goals, 391 assists, seven 20-goal seasons and at least 50 points in nine straight seasons). He put up 23 goals and 61 points with the Calgary Flames in 2011-12, in contrast, no Jets center managed 50 points. There's no doubt he makes the Jets a better team. "When you do have the ability to upgrade in any facet of the center position, you have to take a good, long look at it," Jets general manager Kevin Cheveldayoff said after signing Jokinen. "We believe strength down the middle will give you a lot of success in the long run." At 6-foot-2, 210 pounds, Jokinen provides more muscle up the middle on a team that didn't have much size at center. "We're excited about the opportunity to bring a front-line player, a top-six player into the organization," Cheveldayoff said. "His size comes to the forefront right now; he’s difficult to handle. When he gets moving, he does move very well. He likes to shoot the puck and he’s not afraid to do that." Cheveldayoff will also look to Jokinen for leadership among the Jets' roster, as well as helping to increase production among their young forwards, including 30-goal scorer Evander Kane. Jokinen's arrival also means the Jets won't have to rush their top prospect, 2011 first-round pick Mark Scheifele. "Any time you can add a player of this stature, a player that has abilities to make plays and to score, it creates other opportunities for players like Evander," Cheveldayoff said of Jokinen. "You have to respect players like Olli when they're on the ice all the time, and I think that attention helps other players to play their game as well." Jokinen, tiurned 34 in December, is an experienced guy on a young team. Cheveldayoff said the Jets' youth was one of the things that attracted the veteran to Winnipeg. "He's very excited about being at the forefront of a group that has young players, that has a chance to continue to grow and get better and he's really looking forward to contributing in that regard," the GM said.


Though the Winnipeg Jets didn’t make the playoffs, they were one of the NHL's feel-good stories of 2011-12. The return of hockey to Winnipeg was greeted by a packed house every night, and the Jets dominated the local sports scene in a way they never did while playing as the Atlanta Thrashers. But the novelty of having a hockey team back in Winnipeg has faded, and the fans who welcomed the Jets so warmly a year ago are going to want to see more progress from a franchise that hasn't made the Stanley Cup Playoffs since 2007, and has qualified for the postseason once in its history.


Evander Kane emerged as a 30-goal scorer in his third NHL season, showing the combination of skill and power the franchise envisioned when he was taken by the Thrashers with the fourth pick in the 2009 NHL Draft. At 21 years old, the restricted free agent looks like he's capable of more. The Jets are trying to secure him with a long-term contract, meaning they think he's headed for bigger things, but he has yet to sign, leading to all kinds of speculation. As the top goal-scorer on the Jets, he's the player they want to build around, so getting him to agree to a multiyear deal is a must.


General manager Kevin Cheveldayoff gave the 25-year-old Czech goalie, Ondrej Pavelec, a lucrative five-year deal after a season in which his goals-against average went up (to 2.91, from 2.73) and his save percentage went down (to .906, from .914). Pavelec didn't get a lot of help from his teammates, he faced more than 34 shots per 60 minutes of ice time, a horrendous total in this era, but he's going to have to take a few steps forward to give the Jets the kind of goaltending they'll need to be a playoff team.


The Jets' biggest offseason acquisition had 61 points with the Calgary Flames last season; Winnipeg didn't have a 50-point center on its roster. Jokinen undoubtedly will get top-six ice time; he could wind up on the first line if Bryan Little proves he's not up to the job. The Jets are optimistic Jokinen will be at least as good as he was last season. They're banking on him to provide size and leadership as well as offense. If he does, they could take several steps forward. If not, the Jets figure to be grounded again.


The Jets did not address one of their biggest failings last season: the inability to kill penalties. Winnipeg allowed 58 power-play goals, more than all but two teams; gave opponents 292 power-play chances, seventh-most in the NHL; and managed three shorthanded goals (the League low was two). Neither of the two forwards acquired this summer (Jokinen and Alexei Ponikarovsky) figures to spend a lot of time on the PK, so the Jets will have to get better from within, using largely the same cast that struggled last year.


There's no question Byfuglien is one of the NHL's most productive defensemen when it comes to generating offense, his 53 points in 66 games were tied for second in the League. His booming shot is a weapon, especially on the power play. But Byfuglien isn't nearly as good in his own zone, he's been a minus player in each of the past three seasons, including back-to-back years when he's put up 53 points. Byfuglien is an offensive force, but he's got to pay more attention to defending for the Jets to be able to turn more of those points into wins.


Having NHL hockey again was enough for fans last season. They began cheering during warm-ups on opening day and didn't stop until the final horn on April 7. The Jets responded to the support by going 23-13-5 in front of the home folks as opposed to 14-22-5 on the road. But for all the love and support they received, the first-year Jets were only four points better than the 2010-11 edition of the Atlanta Thrashers and came up short of a playoff berth again. The 15,004 fans who pack MTS Centre every night, and the thousands more who live and die with the team, are going to want more this season than merely having the NHL back in town. Missing the playoffs a second time could do a lot to take the bloom off the rose of this love story.


The first season with NHL hockey back in Winnipeg was a big, successful party. Fans flocked to see the new Jets, turning MTS Centre into the closest thing the NHL has to a college atmosphere, complete with creative chants and wonderful spurts of near-deafening noise. There were November nights in Manitoba that sounded like other NHL arenas in the postseason. The Jets were a significantly better team at home than on the road, and the crowd played a role in that (though tough travel, both for the Jets on the road and teams coming to MTS, also was assuredly a factor). General manager Kevin Cheveldayoff made one big addition and a secondary one to help his club's forward group. He also added a new backup goaltender, and locked up the franchise guy in net. Whether or not the improvements are enough to make the Jets a playoff contender remains to be seen, they are still in the Southeast Division, which significantly improved, thanks to major moves by the Carolina Hurricanes and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Forwards

Andrew Ladd - Olli Jokinen - Blake Wheeler

Evander Kane - Bryan Little - Alexander Burmistrov

Nik Antropov - Jim Slater - Kyle Wellwood

Alexei Ponikarovsky - Patrice Cormier - Chris Thorburn

Antti Miettinen

Defensemen

Tobias Enstrom - Dustin Byfuglien

Ron Hainsey - Zach Bogosian

Grant Clitsome - Mark Stuart

Paul Postma

Goaltenders

Ondrej Pavelec

Al Montoya

NOTES: Jokinen, signed as a free agent, likely gets a chance to replace Little on the top line to start the season. Ladd, Wheeler and Kane are locks to be top-six wings, but that fourth spot, not to mention the two slots on the third line flanking the team's top faceoff guy (Slater) could go in a number of different directions. Burmistrov is still young and oozes potential, so he deserves a chance to play with skilled linemates. Top prospect Mark Scheifele could force his way onto to the team, either in Little's place in the middle or landing next to him on the second line. Antropov, Ponikarovsky and Wellwood are possibilities to play on the other side of Kane. Ponikarovsky has 19 goals in the past two seasons and four in 65 career postseason contests, so don't be surprised if he's the odd-man out from the top nine. Antropov would be on high alert if Scheifele has a strong camp. Though Burmistrov deserves a long look in the top six during camp, he, too, could get shuffled to the back of the pack. The first four of the defense corps looks set, though there could be a bit more to come from Bogosian. Postma is on a one-way contract, so expect him to stick over Derek Meech, who has a two-way deal. Pavelec has a big contract and an offseason arrest to add to the pressure already on a goalie who sees a ton of rubber every night. He has games when he looks like a future Vezina candidate, but the overall numbers are still not at an elite level. Those statistics need to get there for him to be worth his new deal and for Winnipeg to be a playoff contender. Montoya had some moments with the New York Islanders and could be a quality backup.

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