Friday, 18 January 2013

3 - Anaheim Ducks

The Pacific Division was arguably the most competitive in the entire NHL last season with the top 3 teams Phoenix, San Jose and Los Angeles separated by just 2 points. The Kings went on to beat the Coyotes in the Western Conference Finals before winning the franchise's first Stanley Cup. Dallas finished fourth, only just out of the playoffs, but stayed in the race until the final week of the regular season. The Ducks endured a terrible first half of the season, replacing Randy Carlyle with Bruce Bourdreau as coach before going on a great run to cut a 20-point gap in the playoff race to just 4 before fading and finishing with a 34-36-12 record, last in the Pacific Division and 15 points adrift of a playoff berth. If Anaheim are going to return to the postseason after a disappointing year, there are a number of issues that needs to be addressed. A terrible start doomed the Ducks last season, but a couple of additions on defense and the return of key forwards could help lead them back into the Playoffs. Anaheim havn't made any serious signings as yet although perhaps it is more important to keep the players they already have rather than try to bring new ones in. Trade rumors persist regarding Bobby Ryan leaving the Orange County franchise and keeping him is a must. So too trying to squeeze one more year out of the evergreen Teemu Selanne whose goal-scoring will prove crucial to a side that has struggled for goals over the last few seasons. Despite the Finn turning 42, he still feels he can add something to the team, especially on the powerplay where he found the net 12 times last season, and more importantly he is still enjoying his hockey. It is vitally important that the young second line of Ryan, Corey Perry and Ryan Getzlaf can take some of the goalscoring pressure of the top line. It is also hoped coach Bourdreau can make an even bigger impact on the team with a full season under his belt. Some player changes have been made over the summer with the Ducks electing not to re-sign third-line forward Niklas Hagman. While physical fourth-liner George Parros and defenseman Sheldon Brookbank have left via free agency, and defender Lubomir Visnovsky was traded to the New York Islanders.

Arrivals: D Sheldon Souray, D Bryan Allen, LW Daniel Winnik, G Viktor Fasth, RW Brad StaubitzDepartures: D Lubomir Visnovsky, D Sheldon Brookbank, RW George ParrosUFAs: LW Jason Blake, LW Niklas Hagman, G Dan Ellis
Promotion candidates: C Peter Holland, RW Emerson Etem, RW Kyle Palmieri, D Sami Vatenen


New additions brought in by general manager Bob Murray include a pair of veteran defenseman, Sheldon Souray, who had a resurgent season with the Stars and brings a booming shot from the point, and Bryan Allen, a steady stay-at-home type, as well as checking forward Daniel Winnik and gritty Brad Staubitz. Swedish goalie Viktor Fasth was signed as the new backup to Hiller. "We lost a couple good guys but we got what we were looking for. I'm excited for those moves and I know [Souray and Allen] are going to be a big part of our defense," Selanne said. "And the rest of our core is so strong. … I truly believe we have all the pieces. That's what makes this very interesting and special because I think we all feel there's unfinished business." And while players like Selanne and 37-year-old fellow alternate captain Saku Koivu represent the elder statesmen on the Ducks, the roster is full of young talent who must continue to develop, like defensemen Cam Fowler and Luca Sbisa and forwards Nick Bonino and Devante Smith-Pelly. In addition, a list of prospects headed by forwards Kyle Palmieri and Emerson Etem are knocking on the door. In many ways, Anaheim's 2011-12 campaign mirrored that of the New Jersey Devils a season earlier. The Devils bounced back and went to the Stanley Cup Final last spring; while it might seem a tall order for the Ducks to do the same, their goal of making the playoffs is realistic. And as the Kings just got done proving, once a team gets there anything is possible.


It probably goes without saying that coming off a season in which they finished 13th in the Western Conference and missed the Stanley Cup Playoffs by 15 points, there are no shortage of questions facing the Anaheim Ducks. Since claiming the franchise's first championship in 2007, the Ducks have won a single playoff round. They've made the postseason three times and failed to get there twice, but their overall performance last season was particularly vexing. Anaheim endured a hideous first half, getting veteran coach Randy Carlyle fired along the way. On Jan. 6, the Ducks sat 14th in the West with a 10-22-6 record, a full 20 points out of eighth place. Then, suddenly, the teachings of new bench boss Bruce Boudreau seemed to click, and the team went on a second-half surge. On the strength of a 17-3-4 run fueled largely by the goaltending of Jonas Hiller, the Ducks got as close as within four points of a playoff berth in late February, but could never narrow it further.

When Bruce Boudreau was hired Dec. 1, the Ducks found themselves in a sorry state of affairs with a 7-13-4 record. It would get worse before it got better, as they won just three of their first 14 games under Boudreau before going 24-14-6 the rest of the way. Although he couldn't pull off the miracle comeback he did when he first became an NHL coach in Washington, leading the Capitals back from last place in the Eastern Conference to the first of four consecutive Southeast Division titles in 2007-08, Boudreau re-energized the Ducks, most notably Hiller and the team's defensive efforts in front of him, and created expectations of better things to come. In the three full seasons Boudreau coached the Capitals, they finished first in the division each time. The Pacific boasts the defending Stanley Cup champs (Los Angeles Kings), the other West finalist (Phoenix Coyotes) and two other very solid teams (San Jose Sharks and Dallas Stars), so a top-three seed is a lofty goal, but it isn't unreasonable to expect Boudreau can lead the Ducks back into the playoffs. "This team, we've just started going where we want to go," Boudreau said in May, when he signed a two-year contract extension. "If we had started a little bit earlier, anything could have happened. These playoff teams, we competed with all these teams, going tooth and nail."


The trio of Ryan Getzlaf centering Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan had its occasional flashes of brilliance, but overall suffered a significant drop in production from the previous season. Perry, who went on a goal-scoring binge near the end of the 2010-11 campaign in winning the Hart Trophy, slipped from 50 goals and 98 points to 37 and 60, respectively. Ryan's scoring line dipped from 34-37-71 to 31-26-57. And Getzlaf managed just 11 goals (down eight) and 57 points (down 19), his worst production since his rookie season. In order for the Ducks to finish above the line that divides the West's top eight from its bottom seven, they'll probably need the No. 1 unit to at least produce at a rate that falls between its sizzling 2010-11 output and its underwhelming follow-up performance. Of course, that's assuming the top line remains intact, which leads into our next question.


The 25-year-old right wing Bobby Ryan, who has scored 30-plus goals in each of his four full NHL seasons, made comments after the season ended that suggested he wouldn't mind continuing his career somewhere other than Southern California. With the Columbus Blue Jackets having traded Rick Nash to the New York Rangers last month and the high-profile free agents all signed with the exception of Shane Doan, any team looking to add an impact player on offense would figure to have Ryan in its sights. The Philadelphia Flyers, in particular, have been rumored to have interest in the native of nearby Cherry Hill, N.J., but it's unclear what the Ducks might want for him, or if they're even inclined to deal him in the first place. Like it or not, Ryan may very well find himself playing in familiar surroundings. While he expressed displeasure over feeling like he shouldered too much blame for his lack of output during the team's struggles early last season, any gripes he has with management apparently don't carry over to Boudreau and the coaching staff. "Bruce essentially changed my whole season around in Anaheim," Ryan told the Camden Courier-Post over the summer. "It was going downhill very fast. He came in and changed things around and really spoke to me on a level that I could understand. I loved playing for him."

Teemu Selanne defied Father Time again last season by leading the Ducks in scoring, registering 26 goals and 66 points. Perhaps even more remarkably, he played in all 82 games for the first time in five years. With 663 career goals, Selanne is on the verge of cracking the top 10, and his 1,406 points rank 19th on the all-time list. Since the time he first contemplated retirement following Anaheim's Cup triumph, he's compiled more than 100 goals and 270 points. He also remains deadly on the power play, where his 12 goals last season give him 248 over his 19 seasons in the League. Selanne is coming back for another season because he still feels he can contribute at a level up to his lofty standards, and it's hard for anyone else to doubt him. "Age is a funny thing," Selanne told the Ducks' official website. "A lot of times, I don't really feel 42 right now. It all depends how good you feel, how healthy you are and how much passion you have for the game. That is why I still enjoy the game. It's fun to go to the rink every morning. It sounds pretty old when you say 42 as a hockey player. Mentally, I am still the same level as Getzlaf and those other guys. That is most important and that is why I am still in the game."

Considering Jonas Hiller missed almost the entire final two months of the 2010-11 season plus the Ducks' first-round playoff defeat to the Nashville Predators because of vertigo, that he was able to come back last season and lead the League with 73 appearances was a remarkable feat. It also indicated the Ducks didn't have a lot of faith in their goaltending depth, Dan Ellis missed most of the season because of injury and Jeff Deslauriers earned only four starts as Anaheim desperately attempted to make up ground in the playoff race and felt the need to rely on their best, night after night. Viktor Fasth, who turned 30 on Aug. 8, has had a decorated career in Sweden, including at the international level. Assuming he adjusts to the NHL well and gains Boudreau's confidence, it's not unreasonable to think he could he could earn 25-30 starts this season.

Over the past few seasons, the Ducks have traded away Chris Pronger and Lubomir Visnovsky and seen Scott Niedermayer retire. Players like Cam Fowler and Luca Sbisa, who represent the future on defense, are at crucial stages in their development. Fowler's offensive numbers regressed in his sophomore season and he's a minus-53 in 158 games since entering the League. But he doesn't turn 21 until December and still has all the makings of a future star at his position. Sbisa, 22, set career highs across the board last season and flashed a lot of the potential the Ducks saw when they acquired him as part of the deal that saw Pronger sent to the Flyers. Aiding the young duo will be veteran holdovers Francois Beauchemin and Toni Lydman. The Ducks added experience by signing free agents Bryan Allen and Sheldon Souray. Their team goals-against average last season of 2.73 ranked 19th in the League.


In order for the Anaheim Ducks to return to the Stanley Cup Playoffs after a one-year absence, there are several key players who will need to have big seasons. The production of the top line dropped off in 2011-12 and the trio of Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan will be in search of bounce-back seasons. Defenseman Cam Fowler, beginning his third NHL season and still just 20 years old, suffered something of a sophomore slump and needs to take the next step in his development. However, the Ducks' fortunes ultimately hinge on the man between the pipes, Jonas Hiller. The 30-year-old Swiss goaltender rebounded from a season marred by health concerns to play the most games in the NHL at his position, but had an up-and-down campaign much like his team and posted a career-low .910 save percentage. "With whatever I went through at the end of last year, I'm definitely happy how it went this year for me personally," Hiller said in a player profile posted last month on the Ducks' official website. "I showed that I am able to play at the highest level in this League and I think I can play better. I'm already excited for next year." In 2010-11, Hiller was coming off a career-high 30 wins and appeared set to obliterate that as he racked up 25 victories prior to appearing in the All-Star Game in Raleigh, N.C. His season was quickly derailed, however, as vertigo symptoms surfaced soon thereafter, limiting him to three appearances and one win the remainder of the regular season. Hiller, who finished with a .924 save percentage, couldn't participate in the playoffs, and the Ducks were dispatched in the first round by the Nashville Predators in a six-game series. The good news for Hiller and the Ducks was his symptoms cleared during the summer and didn't recur despite his heavy workload. At one point Hiller set a franchise record by starting 32 consecutive games as Anaheim furiously tried to climb out of a deep hole in the standings that caused the team to fire coach Randy Carlyle two months into the season and replace him with Bruce Boudreau. Hiller ended up playing in 73 games, with a 29-30-12 record and a 2.57 goals-against average that was almost identical to the previous season. He seemed to find his best rhythm during that 32-start stretch, going 14-3-4 at one point while allowing more than three goals in a game just once and surrendering two or fewer 14 times. "I definitely have a little better understanding of my body and how to take care of it, to listen to my body and not just try to work through it when something is aching," Hiller told Adam Brady of the Ducks Blog in early March. "With massage or treatment, you can get rid of stuff before it really gets serious. Bruce has also given me the opportunity to take my rest on certain days and certain practices. That definitely helps to stay sharp, especially mentally, which is almost as tough as staying ready physically." Anaheim signed veteran Swedish goalie Viktor Fasth over the summer, a key move that should allow Hiller to rest a little more often this season. He's still the undisputed No. 1, though, and if he can re-establish himself as one of the elite goalies in the League, an accolade he had earned two seasons ago before the vertigo issues surfaced, then the Ducks will again be a force in the Pacific Division and Western Conference races.


The Anaheim Ducks were expected to be one of the top teams in the Western Conference in 2011-12, but a second consecutive slow start was not followed by a furious rally like it was in 2010-11. Coach Randy Carlyle was fired and replaced by Bruce Boudreau, and there was a second-half surge, but the deficit was too great to overcome. General manager Bob Murray shored up the defense during the offseason, but any improvements up front are likely to come a few young, internal candidates. The Ducks will welcome back Teemu Selanne for another season, and the entire sport will be better off because of it. Murray added Daniel Winnik up front and veterans Sheldon Souray and Bryan Allen on defense. Anaheim's depth at forward will depend on some young players stepping forward and earning roles. The Ducks have been a top-heavy team in recent years, but they've also had success. How much the younger guys can help will determine if Anaheim can return to Stanley Cup contention before Selanne and Saku Koivu retire at some point in the inevitable future.

Forwards
Devante Smith-Pelly - Ryan Getzlaf - Corey Perry

Bobby Ryan - Saku Koivu - Teemu Selanne

Daniel Winnik - Nick Bonino - Andrew Cogliano

Kyle Palmieri - Peter Holland - Matt Beleskey

Brad Staubitz
Defensemen

Cam Fowler - Francois Beauchemin

Sheldon Souray - Bryan Allen

Luca Sbisa - Toni Lydman

Nate Guenin

Goaltenders

Jonas Hiller

Viktor Fasth


NOTES: The big name missing here is Emerson Etem, who would become a favorite for a top-six forward spot if Ryan is traded. Etem might force his way into the opening-night lineup anyway, he scored 68 goals in 72 Western Hockey League games last season (including the playoffs). Bruce Boudreau didn't hesitate to put Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom and Alexander Semin together (or to separate them) during their apex with the Washington Capitals, so expect him to shuffle back and forth with his "Big Three" in Anaheim if Ryan stays. There is some uncertainty with other forward spots as well, but the opportunity for Holland, Bonino and Palmieri to lock down permanent spots is there. Holland or Bonino could push Koivu into more of a third-line role if they prove they're ready. The defense corps looks pretty settled. Fowler had some growing pains last season, but he could become a bona fide No. 1 defenseman in his third NHL season. Pairing Souray's booming shot with Allen's responsible instincts could be an instant fit. Fasth will battle Jeff Drouin-Deslauriers for the backup spot behind Hiller.

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