Wednesday, 9 January 2013

4 - Philadelphia Flyers

In six years as general manager of the Philadelphia Flyers, Paul Holmgren had gotten used to getting the players he wanted. This summer, however, nothing went according to plan. Holmgren made big offers for free-agent forward Zach Parise and free-agent defenseman Ryan Suter, both of whom signed with the Minnesota Wild. And his brashest move, signing Nashville Predators defenseman Shea Weber to a 14-year, $110 million offer sheet, didn't work out when the Predators matched the offer. Holmgren also watched as Columbus Blue Jackets All-Star power forward Rick Nash landed with the division-rival New York Rangers, and the GM lost two of his own free agents, top-line forward Jaromir Jagr left for the Dallas Stars, and puck-moving defenseman Matt Carle signed with the Tampa Bay Lightning. That comes on the heels of the team's disappointing five-game series loss to the New Jersey Devils in the Eastern Conference Semifinals. After the Weber offer sheet fell through, Holmgren expressed disappointment with how his offseason has gone, but recently said, "We believe we have a good, young team that is only going to continue to get better." Two reasons for optimism are Sean Couturier and Brayden Schenn, each of whom had solid rookie seasons and have raised the bar for Year Two. Couturier, the eighth pick in the 2011 NHL Draft, had 27 points in 77 games last season, but it was his defensive play that earned rave reviews. Couturier centered the fourth line last season, but he'll likely get more ice time this season, including extensive time on the power play, to better use his offensive gifts. Schenn had an up-and-down debut season that was limited to 54 games by injury, but he showcased himself in the playoffs with nine points in 11 games. He also appeared to find a home on the second line, playing left wing with center Danny Briere and right wing Wayne Simmonds. All-Star Claude Giroux will return as the top-line center, and the EA Sports NHL 13 cover athlete will look to follow a career season that saw him finish third in the League with 93 points. Scott Hartnell, who scored a career-best 37 goals last season, will return on the left side, with Jakub Voracek likely replacing Jagr at right wing. Ruslan Fedotenko, signed for his veteran experience, could fill a slot on the third line, alongside Couturier and Matt Read, who led all NHL rookies last season with 24 goals. The biggest change could be in the look of the defense. The Flyers went hard after Suter and Weber in part because of the questionable playing future of top blueliner Chris Pronger, who hasn't played since Nov. 19, 2011, because of a concussion. Nicklas Grossmann and Braydon Coburn formed a solid top pairing when Grossmann joined the team late last season, but an expected second pair of Timonen and Andrej Meszaros won't be available, at least at the start of the season, while Meszaros recovers from a torn Achilles tendon sustained during an offseason workout.
Additions: D Luke Schenn, D Bruno Gervais, LW Ruslan Fedotenko
Subtractions: RW Jaromir Jagr, D Matt Carle, LW James van Riemsdyk, G Sergei Bobrovsky
UFAs: D Pavel Kubina, C Blair Betts
Promotion candidates: LW Eric Wellwood, D Brandon Manning, D Erik Gustafsson, D Marc-Andre Bourdon, RW Jason Akeson


Luke Schenn, acquired from the Toronto Maple Leafs for forward James van Riemsdyk in June , could slide into the second pairing, with veteran Bruno Gervais and youngsters Erik Gustafsson, Marc-Andre Bourdon and Brandon Manning battling for the final spots. Andreas Lilja would also be in the mix, but he is expected to miss the start of the season after reportedly having hip surgery. The one position that will stay the same is the one place the Flyers would like to see change the most, goaltending. Ilya Bryzgalov was brought in last summer and signed to a nine-year contract with the hope he could solve the franchise's long-term quest for stability in the net. While Bryzgalov played well at times, he won his first three starts, including defeats of both 2011 Stanley Cup finalists, and he was NHL Player of the Month in March, he was wildly inconsistent on and off the ice. However, with a year in Philadelphia under his belt, the organizational belief is the Bryzgalov that earned that big deal will return in 2012-13. "I think Ilya has learned some things from one year in Philadelphia," Holmgren said. "He's learned a lot of things and we'll see a different person next year. I think we'll certainly see a different goaltender." A better Bryzgalov could make Holmgren's fall, winter and spring better than his summer.

No team got a bigger contribution from its rookies last season than the Flyers. Matt Read led all first-year NHL players with 24 goals; Sean Couturier, the eighth pick in the 2011 NHL Draft, was second on the team with a plus-18 rating while playing against other teams' top lines; and Brayden Schenn was fourth on the team in playoff scoring with nine points. Rookie blueliners Erik Gustafsson and Marc-Andre Bourdon also grew into significant roles. With the departures of James van Riemsdyk, Jaromir Jagr and Matt Carle, those young players now will be expected to provide even more. Schenn likely will enter the season as a top-six forward, while Couturier will see more ice time, especially on the power play. Their performances could determine how far the Flyers are able to go in the postseason.
 
Jagr arrived after three seasons in Russia and turned his line with Claude Giroux and Hartnell into one of the best in the League. But Jagr is with the Dallas Stars now, leaving a significant hole at right wing on the top line. The front-runner to fill that spot appears to be Jakub Voracek. He brings more speed to the trio than Jagr, but his 18 goals last season were a career best. He'll have to perform at a higher level to take some of the pressure off Giroux and Hartnell.
With Chris Pronger's future in doubt and 37-year-old Kimmo Timonen entering the final year of his contract, general manager Paul Holmgren went big after free-agent defensemen Ryan Suter and Shea Weber, and after missing on them, he also lost Carle, who signed with the Tampa Bay Lightning. Their issues on defense became even greater when Andrej Meszaros tore his Achilles tendon earlier this month, sidelining him indefinitely. Another veteran option, Andreas Lilja, is also expected to miss the start of the season after reportedly having hip surgery. After losing out on Weber, Holmgren said he was happy with the makeup of his defense, pointing to the offseason additions of Luke Schenn and Bruno Gervais, plus young guys Marc-Andre Bourdon, Erik Gustafsson and Brandon Mannnng. Is that group enough to get the Flyers deep into the playoffs? Or will Holmgren have to look outside the organization?
 
In his third full NHL season, Giroux finished third in the League with 93 points and second with 65 assists. He was the fourth-leading scorer in the playoffs with 17 points despite playing 10 games. He skated in his second NHL All-Star Game and had the most points by a Flyer since Eric Lindros had 93 in 1998-99. Giroux's coach memorably called him the best player in the world, and he capped his season by earning the cover spot on EA Sports' NHL 13 video game. Now comes the hard part, staying at that high level. Teams will focus their best checking lines and defense pairs on Giroux any time he's on the ice. How he handles that level of competition could determine the Flyers' fortunes this season.
 
Is Luke Schenn the classic example of a player who just needed a change in scenery? The 22-year-old defenseman saw his average ice time plummet from 22:22 per game in 2010-11 to 16:02 last season with the Toronto Maple Leafs. His production didn't change much -- he had 22 points and a minus-6 rating last season after scoring 22 points with a minus-7 rating the season before. Regardless of what happened with the Maple Leafs, the Flyers are confident Schenn can be a gritty, physical defensive-zone presence. He had 270 hits last season, nearly 100 more than any Flyer. Playing with his brother Brayden for the first time also should be a motivating factor.

The Philadelphia Flyers entered last season with what was believed to be a franchise goaltender and a questionable offense. They ended the season as one of the highest-scoring teams in the NHL backed by a goaltender who appeared at times to be, in his words, "lost in the woods." Ilya Bryzgalov had an up-and-down first season with the Flyers, and his performance in Year Two of the nine-year contract he signed with the Flyers last summer is just one question facing the team in its quest to win the franchise's first Stanley Cup since 1975. Bryzgalov signed a long-term deal after two excellent seasons with the Phoenix Coyotes, but failed to meet expectations last season. However, the belief around the organization is that Bryzgalov will be more comfortable with a year's experience in Philadelphia under his belt. Scott Hartnell said he saw Bryzgalov struggle in his first season the way he did in his first season with the Flyers. Arriving from a non-traditional market with a long-term contract, Hartnell said he felt far better in his second season with the Flyers, and the same should happen for Bryzgalov. "Once you get to know the guys and you feel more comfortable in your house, in your life, all that kind of stuff, definitely you get more confidence as the year goes on," Hartnell said. "Next year he'll come back from Russia in the summer and his house is all set up, he'll be ready to play." Ilya Bryzgalov's first season with the Philadelphia Flyers could best be described as interesting. The mercurial goalie had extreme highs and lows, on and off the ice, and it ended with the Flyers losing in the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. "Did he play as good as I expected? I would say no," Flyers general manager Paul Holmgren said of Bryzgalov's first season in Philadelphia. As Bryzgalov enters his second year with the team, however, the belief is he'll be more comfortable and return to being the player who was a Vezina Trophy finalist for the Phoenix Coyotes in 2010. Bryzgalov was 10th in the League last season with 33 wins, but had a 2.48 goals-against average that was 21st and a .909 save percentage that ranked 33rd. Those numbers went further in the wrong direction in the playoffs. He was the Player of the Month in March, going 10-2-1 with a 1.43 goals-against average, .947 save percentage and four shutouts. He tied the club record with three straight shutouts from March 8-13, and set the franchise mark for longest shutout streak with a run of 249:43. Compare that to a stretch in October in which he allowed 18 goals in four games, including four goals on 10 shots in a game against the Winnipeg Jets that led Bryzgalov to say he had "zero confidence" in himself and add, "I am lost in the woods right now." He became the star of the HBO "24/7" show leading into the 2012 Winter Classic for his dissertations on the size of the universe, among other topics. But the day before the game, he told reporters, "I have great news and even better news. OK, great news is I'm not playing [in the Classic], and better news is we have a chance to win the game." He said he would be sitting on the bench sipping hot tea, and hours later posted a picture of a mug to his Twitter account. Teammates reportedly told Bryzgalov to tone down his act, which he did, but Bryzgalov never seemed comfortable muting his oversized personality. The key for Bryzgalov will be finding a middle ground that allows him to be himself on and off the ice. "His job is to stop pucks and help us win games. It's not Comedy Central. There's probably a middle-of-the-road scenario there. He's a funny guy to talk to, there's no question about that. He's got some interesting concepts of life and how to walk down the road of life." Finding that middle ground, however, is the key. It could come simply from having a year of experience in Philadelphia. Teammate Scott Hartnell compared Bryzgalov's first-season struggles to his first year in Philadelphia. Both players arrived from non-traditional hockey markets with big contracts and expectations to match. "Once you get to know the guys and you feel more comfortable in your house, in your life, all that kind of stuff, definitely you get more confidence as the year goes on," Hartnell said. "Next year he'll come back from Russia in the summer and his house is all set up, he'll be ready to play." Holmgren agreed, saying he's positive Bryzgalov will be far better in his second season with the Flyers. "I think Ilya has learned some things from one year in Philadelphia," Holmgren said. "He's learned a lot of things and we'll see a different person next year. I think we'll certainly see a different goaltender."

No team last season got a bigger contribution from its rookies than the Philadelphia Flyers. Matt Read led all first-year NHL players in goals, Sean Couturier provided lock-down play in the middle, and Brayden Schenn developed into a solid top-six forward. With that much youth, the Flyers don't have to be in a hurry with their next prospect group. While some will have the chance to earn playing time during the season, there won't be any kind of a rush, which will allow the players' full skill sets to develop at the proper speed.
 
Philadelphia's top prospects:
1. Scott Laughton, C: The Flyers chose Laughton with the 20th pick of the 2012 NHL Draft after a season that saw him total 21 goals and 53 points in 64 games with the Oshawa Generals of the Ontario Hockey League. He also had seven points in seven games to help Canada win the bronze medal at the 2012 IIHF World Under-18 Championship. Flyers director of hockey operations Chris Pryor told NHL.com the biggest thing the organization needs to see from the 6-foot-1, 177-pound forward is for him to get bigger and stronger. "He plays the game the right way," Pryor said. "He plays both ends, he's competitive. He's got some offense in his game, got a lot of compete in his game. He plays a good two-way game. And he works and he's competitive."
2. Brandon Manning, D: The only question about Manning entering last season was his health, and once he got some nagging issues taken care of, the undrafted blueliner blossomed with the Adirondack Phantoms of the American Hockey League. He had 19 points in 46 games, but 16 of those points came in his final 28 games, and he earned a four-game NHL call-up in March. Manning will complete with Erik Gustafsson, Marc-Andre Bourdon and Bruno Gervais in training camp for a spot as the sixth or seventh defenseman with the Flyers. "I think when he started to feel healthy, we saw his progress," Pryor said of Manning. "Especially the second half of last year, you started to see the results in his game. … Going forward, we expect, as Brandon does, to contribute at [the NHL] level. He's very competitive, he can play both ends of the rink, and for a young guy, he's got a lot of character and compete in his game."
3. Niko Hovinen, G: The 6-7, 200-pounder originally was drafted by Minnesota in 2006 but never came to North America. The 24-year-old signed with the Flyers in May 2011 and likely will start the 2012-13 season in the AHL. He had a 2.26 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage with Pelicans in the top Finnish league last season -- and was just as good in the playoffs, posting a 2.30 GAA and .925 save percentage in eight games to help Pelicans advance to the league finals. "Our guys over there saw a lot of him and they really liked him," Pryor said. "Number- and performance-wise he did very well. We feel like he should be able to come over here and continue on with his development. … He looks like he's going to be able to give himself a good opportunity to have a good career over here."
4. Nick Cousins, C: The 2011 third-round pick has been compared to former NHL player Ken Linseman for his ability to create offense and draw the ire of the other team. While skating with the Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds of the OHL last season, he was fifth in the league with 88 points and sixth with 53 assists. He also was an effective pest, goading teams into unnecessary penalties while only earning 88 penalty minutes himself. "Not only does he have a good head and a good stick on the ice, he can make plays, he brings that element of offense, but he's got a persona, a knack … he's got a bit of irritability and gets under people's skin," Pryor said. "He's got a knack for being a pesty guy to play against. And he can play the game. … Those are attractive traits."
5. Cal Heeter, G: The Flyers signed the undrafted free-agent in March after he went 13-11-5 with a 2.45 GAA and .918 save percentage as a senior at Ohio State last season. "Neil Little [scout] liked him, athletically and fundamentally," Pryor said. "Neil saw him extensively. … We thought it was a good situation for Cal. We're happy with him. He's going to go onto the American league right now and battle for ice time. Both him and Hovinen will give us a nice tandem [in Adirondack]."
6. Matt Mangene, C: The undrafted 23-year-old will start his first full season in the AHL after going scoreless in five games there following the end of his season at the University of Maine . The 5-11, 190-pounder had 16 goals and 34 points in 40 games with the Black Bears last season. Mangene signed with the Flyers in April and is listed as a center, but skated as a forward and a defenseman in his three college seasons. "That's one of his strongest attributes, that he can skate and to be able to play forward and defense is a compliment in itself," Pryor said. "He has good speed, he competes and is versatile to go along with having some skill."
7. Tye McGinn, LW : A 2010 fourth-round pick, McGinn had 12 goals and six assists in 63 games in his first AHL season in 2011-12. "Like the other guys coming out of junior, Tye progressed as the year went on," Pryor said. "He's a big body [6-2, 205] with good hands and can play with some edge. He's good down low and around the net. He needs to continue where he left off last season."
8. Marcel Noebels, LW: The 2011 fourth-round pick had 34 points in 31 games with the Portland Winterhawks of the Western Hockey League after arriving there in a trade last season. He added 23 points in 22 playoff games while playing a new position, center, and playing through a wrist injury that needed offseason surgery. At age 20, he'll have a chance at training camp to earn an AHL spot, rather than return to the WHL for his over-age season of junior hockey. "He's a bigger kid [6-3, 200]," Pryor said. "He's had a pretty good career out west. They were very happy when they acquired him in Portland last year, he was a big part of that team down the stretch. We liked that he was able to play wing, and when he got to Portland he played center. That tells you something about the kid, that he's able to play a couple positions like that. He's a big body. We think he's got a promising future."
9. Tyler Brown, LW: The undrafted forward had eight goals and nine assists in 71 games last season for Adirondack, his first in the AHL after four seasons with the Plymouth Whalers of the OHL. "One thing about Tyler Brown is he's got some size [6-1, 185], and he can really skate," Pryor said. "If you look at the game now and you've got some speed and some size like that, you're going to give yourself a chance. Last year was a big transition year for him, took a while for him to figure the game out, but then he started showing people what he showed in junior. He's an exciting guy to watch because he can skate."
10. Anthony Stolarz, G: The Flyers' 2012 second-round pick had 23 wins, a 2.84 GAA and .902 save percentage in 50 games with Corpus Christi of the North American Hockey League last season. The 6-5, 210-pound goalie will continue his development in the fall at the University of Nebraska-Omaha. He also was invited to USA Hockey's National Junior Evaluation camp, which could put him in the running for a spot on the team the United States fields for the 2013 IIHF World Junior Championship. "He's in a good situation going to college," Pryor said. "He's a big, athletic kid who just needs to play. Coming out of the [NAHL], the WCHA is going to be a bit of a jump for him [but] he's a big athletic kid. The more ice time, the more games he's going to get, he's only going to get better. He's going to get quality coaching in a quality program and he can just go play."

For all of the plaudits earned from dismantling their rivals in the first round of the 2012 Stanley Cup Playoffs, the Philadelphia Flyers are likely still smarting from a second-round defeat just days later. Claude Giroux became a superstar and Scott Hartnell one of the top power forwards in the League, but the New Jersey Devils ended the Flyers' potential Stanley Cup run, and the offseason in Philadelphia brought more questions than answers. Jaromir Jagr and Matt Carle are gone after signing elsewhere as free agents. James van Riemsdyk was traded for Luke Schenn to help bolster the depth on defense, but the deal has also left the forwards a little thin if there are injuries. There are already injuries to deal with on the back end. Ruslan Fedotenko was added, like Max Talbot the year before, he brings with him a strong postseason pedigree. Bruno Gervais was signed and could earn a spot on the team's third defense pairing. Then there is Ilya Bryzgalov. He was brought in as the final piece on a potentially great team last season, but now he's going to be counted on to help keep an elite team from slipping backwards. He makes the Flyers' destiny a wide range of possibilities, both good and bad.

Forwards

Scott Hartnell - Claude Giroux - Jakub Voracek

Wayne Simmonds - Brayden Schenn - Danny Briere

Ruslan Fedotenko - Sean Couturier - Matt Read

Eric Wellwood - Maxime Talbot - Zac Rinaldo

Jody Shelley

Defensemen

Kimmo Timonen - Nicklas Grossmann

Braydon Coburn - Luke Schenn

Erik Gustafsson - Bruno Gervais

Marc-Andre Bourdon.

Goaltenders

Ilya Bryzgalov

Michael Leighton

NOTES: The forward group could be set, provided all the guys who are set for increased roles take to them. Read or Fedotenko could end up in the top six if Voracek or Simmonds slump, and Talbot could end up on the third line if needed. There's not a lot of NHL-caliber depth beyond those first 12 forwards, though. With Andrej Meszaros and Andreas Lilja injured and Chris Pronger's availability in serious doubt, the Flyers could still be looking to add another defenseman. Brandon Manning will also be among those trying to earn a spot at the back end of Philadelphia's depth chart. Plenty has already been said about Bryzgalov's turbulent first season in Philadelphia, but he could mask some other issues with a better campaign. He'll likely get plenty of work, because the Flyers decided against upgrading behind him -- instead dealing Sergei Bobrovsky to the Columbus Blue Jackets and retaining Leighton to be the backup.

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